The dominant cycle on Crude seems to work very well here. As per indication the top should be in place for wave 3 and 61%Fibo Ret level should't be breached.
Overall count is bearish but lack of implulsive development put this labeling into question if SUPPLY level is broken to the upside.
Seb
Source | Elliott Wave NYSE And Forex Blog | http://elliottfxtrader.blogspot.com/2012/12/crude-oil-h4-update_18.html
Showing posts with label Crude. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Crude. Show all posts
Tuesday, December 18, 2012
Thursday, December 13, 2012
Crude Oil Futures H4 Update
So far outlook is as it is on picture - nothing is sure but the breakout will come - this way or another.
Time will tell.
Seb

Source | Elliott Wave NYSE And Forex Blog | http://elliottfxtrader.blogspot.com/2012/12/crude-oil-futures-h4-update.html
Time will tell.
Seb
Source | Elliott Wave NYSE And Forex Blog | http://elliottfxtrader.blogspot.com/2012/12/crude-oil-futures-h4-update.html
Labels:
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Wednesday, December 12, 2012
Crude Oil H4 Update
Is this it?
Rather inconvenient move so far...
Seb

Source | Elliott Wave NYSE And Forex Blog | http://elliottfxtrader.blogspot.com/2012/12/crude-oil-h4-update_12.html
Rather inconvenient move so far...
Seb
Source | Elliott Wave NYSE And Forex Blog | http://elliottfxtrader.blogspot.com/2012/12/crude-oil-h4-update_12.html
Crude Oil H4 Update
Look like first leg of retracement is done.
Seb

Source | Elliott Wave NYSE And Forex Blog | http://elliottfxtrader.blogspot.com/2012/12/crude-oil-h4-update_5569.html
Seb
Source | Elliott Wave NYSE And Forex Blog | http://elliottfxtrader.blogspot.com/2012/12/crude-oil-h4-update_5569.html
Saturday, December 8, 2012
Crude Oil H4 Update
No decision here either.
Seb

Source | Elliott Wave NYSE And Forex Blog | http://elliottfxtrader.blogspot.com/2012/12/crude-oil-h4-update_8.html
Seb
Source | Elliott Wave NYSE And Forex Blog | http://elliottfxtrader.blogspot.com/2012/12/crude-oil-h4-update_8.html
Friday, December 7, 2012
Crude Oil H4 Update
Still on Bulls-Last-Chance level but I can label some impulsive developing.
Seb

Source | Elliott Wave NYSE And Forex Blog | http://elliottfxtrader.blogspot.com/2012/12/crude-oil-h4-update_7.html
Seb
Source | Elliott Wave NYSE And Forex Blog | http://elliottfxtrader.blogspot.com/2012/12/crude-oil-h4-update_7.html
Wednesday, December 5, 2012
Crude Oil H4 Update
Still in no mans land - corrective action.
Seb

Source | Elliott Wave NYSE And Forex Blog | http://elliottfxtrader.blogspot.com/2012/12/crude-oil-h4-update_5.html
Seb
Source | Elliott Wave NYSE And Forex Blog | http://elliottfxtrader.blogspot.com/2012/12/crude-oil-h4-update_5.html
Monday, December 3, 2012
Crude Oil H4 Update + TPI
Rationale:

Source | Elliott Wave NYSE And Forex Blog | http://elliottfxtrader.blogspot.com/2012/12/crude-oil-h4-update-tpi.html
I still favour my bearish impulsive count but so far the crude oil shows not much of impulsive bearish development. So I came up with alternative count, that track possibility of another leg up for oil, starting with this Exapnding Leading Diagonal Wave 1.
Right now oil is on track for a retacement or breakout - as showun on chart. The rectangles marks the key weekly areas of high probability of reversal. If we see some bullish price action there, we might expect more upside to come. Break through will ineventably lead to more losses in crude oil and very probably to new low as wave 5 progress.
Entry:
(1)Buy Limit into orange rectangles area @ 88.00 - 87.80 or 87.23 - 87.07
SL: Very tigh, just below 87.80 or 87.
TP: Above wave 2 high.
(2) Sell Market on downside rallys if mentioned levels are broken (sell the spikes up)
Take care,
Seb
Source | Elliott Wave NYSE And Forex Blog | http://elliottfxtrader.blogspot.com/2012/12/crude-oil-h4-update-tpi.html
Crude Oil H4 Upodate
Beautiful moves in this pattern.
Now retacement needed and then buying opportunity just around the corner.
Seb

Source | Elliott Wave NYSE And Forex Blog | http://elliottfxtrader.blogspot.com/2012/12/crude-oil-h4-upodate.html
Now retacement needed and then buying opportunity just around the corner.
Seb
Source | Elliott Wave NYSE And Forex Blog | http://elliottfxtrader.blogspot.com/2012/12/crude-oil-h4-upodate.html
Saturday, December 1, 2012
Crude Oil H4 Update
Very inclear situation right now.
Seb

Source | Elliott Wave NYSE And Forex Blog | http://elliottfxtrader.blogspot.com/2012/12/crude-oil-h4-update.html
Seb
Source | Elliott Wave NYSE And Forex Blog | http://elliottfxtrader.blogspot.com/2012/12/crude-oil-h4-update.html
Thursday, November 29, 2012
Crude Oil H4 Update
Rather strange behaviour of Crude Oil: still almost no downside momnetum
Seb

Source | Elliott Wave NYSE And Forex Blog | http://elliottfxtrader.blogspot.com/2012/11/crude-oil-h4-update_29.html
Seb
Source | Elliott Wave NYSE And Forex Blog | http://elliottfxtrader.blogspot.com/2012/11/crude-oil-h4-update_29.html
Saturday, November 24, 2012
Crude Oil H4 Update
Not much of a change here.
Seb

Source | Elliott Wave NYSE And Forex Blog | http://elliottfxtrader.blogspot.com/2012/11/crude-oil-h4-update_24.html
Seb
Source | Elliott Wave NYSE And Forex Blog | http://elliottfxtrader.blogspot.com/2012/11/crude-oil-h4-update_24.html
Thursday, November 22, 2012
Crude Oil H4 Update
In order to continue with this count we need to see more impulsive price action (aka:sell off :) but so far is not too bad either.
Seb

Source | Elliott Wave NYSE And Forex Blog | http://elliottfxtrader.blogspot.com/2012/11/crude-oil-h4-update_22.html
Seb
Source | Elliott Wave NYSE And Forex Blog | http://elliottfxtrader.blogspot.com/2012/11/crude-oil-h4-update_22.html
Monday, November 19, 2012
Crude Oil H4 Update
Previous alt. count invalidated due to waves (1) and (4) overlapse.
Nevertheless, shorts still in play: bearish impulsive count still in play.
Seb

Source | Elliott Wave NYSE And Forex Blog | http://elliottfxtrader.blogspot.com/2012/11/crude-oil-h4-update_6905.html
Nevertheless, shorts still in play: bearish impulsive count still in play.
Seb
Source | Elliott Wave NYSE And Forex Blog | http://elliottfxtrader.blogspot.com/2012/11/crude-oil-h4-update_6905.html
Sunday, November 18, 2012
Crude Oil H4 Update
Chart re-labeled with alternative count due to MACD Bullish Divergence on wave 3-5 might be happening. Break through invalidation line voids the green impulsive count.
Seb

Source | Elliott Wave NYSE And Forex Blog | http://elliottfxtrader.blogspot.com/2012/11/crude-oil-h4-update_19.html
Seb
Source | Elliott Wave NYSE And Forex Blog | http://elliottfxtrader.blogspot.com/2012/11/crude-oil-h4-update_19.html
Thursday, November 15, 2012
Crude OIl H4 Update
So far, so good.
Seb

Source | Elliott Wave NYSE And Forex Blog | http://elliottfxtrader.blogspot.com/2012/11/crude-oil-h4-update_15.html
Seb
Source | Elliott Wave NYSE And Forex Blog | http://elliottfxtrader.blogspot.com/2012/11/crude-oil-h4-update_15.html
Wednesday, November 14, 2012
Crude Oil Futures H4 Update
We might finish this correction here at 50% Fib Retracment of last swing but the price might go as high as 61% Fib Ret where is little Fibo Cluster.
Seb

Source | Elliott Wave NYSE And Forex Blog | http://elliottfxtrader.blogspot.com/2012/11/crude-oil-futures-h4-update.html
Seb
Source | Elliott Wave NYSE And Forex Blog | http://elliottfxtrader.blogspot.com/2012/11/crude-oil-futures-h4-update.html
Labels:
Crude,
Daily Elliot Wave,
Futures,
Update
Oil Falls After Industry Report Shows Gain in Crude Inventories
Oil for September delivery in New York fell for the first time in six days after a report showed crude supplies rose in the U.S., the largest energy user.
U.S. stockpiles rose last week for the first time since April, the industry-funded American Petroleum Institute reported late yesterday. A Bloomberg News survey of analysts is expecting a government report today to show crude inventories dropped 2.1 million barrels. Oil imports by China, the world’s second- largest consumer, fell 2.8 percent in June from May, customs data showed.
“Inventories should be going down because this is the demand season for the U.S.,” said Tetsu Emori, a commodity fund manager at Astmax Ltd. in Tokyo. “Instead, the inventories are up. This implies that the demand isn’t as strong as expected.”
Crude oil for September delivery dropped as much as 86 cents, or 1.3 percent, to .75 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange, and was at .22 at 1:05 p.m. Singapore time. Yesterday, it rose 32 cents to end the session at .61. The August contract expired at .72 a barrel yesterday.
Crude prices climbed 8.7 percent from July 14 to July 21 as investors bought futures on expectations of higher fuel demand. Optimism that the worst of the global recession is over followed gains in U.S. leading economic indicators and as financial service companies said earnings climbed.
China’s crude imports in June fell to 16.6 million tons, or about 4.1 million barrels a day, from 17.1 million tons in May, the customs data showed.
‘Weak Fundamentals’
U.S. crude supplies climbed 3.1 million barrels to 349.9 million barrels in the week ending July 17, the API said. The group also reported that refinery utilization fell to 84 percent of capacity from 86 percent.
Oil-supply figures from the institute and the energy department moved in the same direction for the past six weeks and 76 percent of the time in the past four years, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
“It is going to be difficult for oil to forge higher if we continue to get indications of weak fundamentals,” said Toby Hassall, a research analyst at Commodity Warrants Australia Pty in Sydney. If the API report is “any indication of how the DOE numbers are going to come in tonight, it’s a pretty bearish picture,” he said.
Inventories of gasoline rose 1.3 million barrels to 213.6 million, the API report said. The Energy Department is expected to say supplies increased by 650,000 barrels in the week ended July 17, according to the analyst survey.
Gasoline Prices
“Rising product inventories don’t bode well for demand for crude,” Hassall said. “Sixty dollars to is a probable range for the short term.”
The API collects stockpile information on a voluntary basis from operators of refineries, bulk terminals and pipelines. The government requires that reports be filed with the energy Department for its weekly survey.
Gasoline for August delivery dropped as much as 2.19 cents, or 1.2 percent, to .7901 a gallon. Yesterday, it climbed 2.26 cents, or 1.3 percent, to .812, the highest settlement since July 1.
U.S. stockpiles of distillate fuel, a category that includes diesel and heating oil, probably rose 1.5 million barrels, according to the analyst survey.
The department is scheduled to release its Weekly Petroleum Status Report today at 10:30 a.m. in Washington.
Brent crude for September settlement fell as much as 61 cents, or 0.9 percent, to .26 a barrel, on London’s ICE Futures Europe Exchange. It was at .60 a barrel at 12:46 p.m. Singapore time.
Source | Forex News | http://forexnews-4all.blogspot.com/2009/07/oil-falls-after-industry-report-shows.html
U.S. stockpiles rose last week for the first time since April, the industry-funded American Petroleum Institute reported late yesterday. A Bloomberg News survey of analysts is expecting a government report today to show crude inventories dropped 2.1 million barrels. Oil imports by China, the world’s second- largest consumer, fell 2.8 percent in June from May, customs data showed.
“Inventories should be going down because this is the demand season for the U.S.,” said Tetsu Emori, a commodity fund manager at Astmax Ltd. in Tokyo. “Instead, the inventories are up. This implies that the demand isn’t as strong as expected.”
Crude oil for September delivery dropped as much as 86 cents, or 1.3 percent, to .75 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange, and was at .22 at 1:05 p.m. Singapore time. Yesterday, it rose 32 cents to end the session at .61. The August contract expired at .72 a barrel yesterday.
Crude prices climbed 8.7 percent from July 14 to July 21 as investors bought futures on expectations of higher fuel demand. Optimism that the worst of the global recession is over followed gains in U.S. leading economic indicators and as financial service companies said earnings climbed.
China’s crude imports in June fell to 16.6 million tons, or about 4.1 million barrels a day, from 17.1 million tons in May, the customs data showed.
‘Weak Fundamentals’
U.S. crude supplies climbed 3.1 million barrels to 349.9 million barrels in the week ending July 17, the API said. The group also reported that refinery utilization fell to 84 percent of capacity from 86 percent.
Oil-supply figures from the institute and the energy department moved in the same direction for the past six weeks and 76 percent of the time in the past four years, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
“It is going to be difficult for oil to forge higher if we continue to get indications of weak fundamentals,” said Toby Hassall, a research analyst at Commodity Warrants Australia Pty in Sydney. If the API report is “any indication of how the DOE numbers are going to come in tonight, it’s a pretty bearish picture,” he said.
Inventories of gasoline rose 1.3 million barrels to 213.6 million, the API report said. The Energy Department is expected to say supplies increased by 650,000 barrels in the week ended July 17, according to the analyst survey.
Gasoline Prices
“Rising product inventories don’t bode well for demand for crude,” Hassall said. “Sixty dollars to is a probable range for the short term.”
The API collects stockpile information on a voluntary basis from operators of refineries, bulk terminals and pipelines. The government requires that reports be filed with the energy Department for its weekly survey.
Gasoline for August delivery dropped as much as 2.19 cents, or 1.2 percent, to .7901 a gallon. Yesterday, it climbed 2.26 cents, or 1.3 percent, to .812, the highest settlement since July 1.
U.S. stockpiles of distillate fuel, a category that includes diesel and heating oil, probably rose 1.5 million barrels, according to the analyst survey.
The department is scheduled to release its Weekly Petroleum Status Report today at 10:30 a.m. in Washington.
Brent crude for September settlement fell as much as 61 cents, or 0.9 percent, to .26 a barrel, on London’s ICE Futures Europe Exchange. It was at .60 a barrel at 12:46 p.m. Singapore time.
Source | Forex News | http://forexnews-4all.blogspot.com/2009/07/oil-falls-after-industry-report-shows.html
Labels:
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Sunday, November 11, 2012
Crude Oil h4 & Daily Update
Looks like rather bearish outlook don't You think?
Seb

Source | Elliott Wave NYSE And Forex Blog | http://elliottfxtrader.blogspot.com/2012/11/crude-oil-h4-daily-update.html
Seb
Source | Elliott Wave NYSE And Forex Blog | http://elliottfxtrader.blogspot.com/2012/11/crude-oil-h4-daily-update.html
Oil Trades Little Changed Ahead of U.S. Crude Inventories Data
August 05 Oil traded little changed ahead of official figures expected to show U.S. crude inventories rose and as the dollar gained against the euro, reducing the investment appeal of dollar-denominated commodities.
An Energy Department report today will probably show U.S. crude stockpiles increased 600,000 barrels, according to analysts surveyed by forex news-4all.blogspot.com, in contrast to the 1.52 million barrel decline reported yesterday by the industry-funded American Petroleum Institute. Crude had risen as much as 0.6 percent after the API data, which has moved in the same direction as the government figures 76 percent of the time over the past four years, Bloomberg data show.
“The last few weeks, the API report was not in agreement with the DOE report, and there is some caution in the market on it,” said Victor Shum, a senior principal at consultant Purvin & Gertz Inc. in Singapore.
Crude oil for September delivery traded at .28 a barrel, down 14 cents, on the New York Mercantile Exchange at 1:21 p.m. in Singapore. Earlier, it rose 45 cents to .87 a barrel. Yesterday, oil dropped 16 cents, or 0.2 percent, to settle at .42 a barrel.
The dollar rose to .4395 per euro at 1:17 p.m. in Singapore from .4408 in New York yesterday. The U.S. currency declined to .4445 on Aug. 3, the lowest since Dec. 18.
Gasoline Supplies
U.S. gasoline inventories increased 2.1 million barrels to 215.7 million in the week ended July 31, the API report showed. The API collects stockpile information on a voluntary basis from operators of refineries, bulk terminals and pipelines.
“The API numbers seemed to provide a little bit of mild strength to prices,” Toby Hassall, a research analyst at Commodity Warrants Australia Pty in Sydney, said by phone. “This rally has been sentiment driven and it is largely dependent on equities maintaining momentum if oil is going to make new highs for 2009.”
The Energy Department is scheduled to release its report on crude stockpiles for the week ended July 31 at 10:30 a.m. in Washington.
Gasoline for September delivery fell 1.02 cents, or 0.5 percent, to .0465 a gallon in New York at 1:19 p.m. Singapore time. Yesterday, it declined 1.26 cents, or 0.6 percent, to end at .0567.
Brent crude oil for September settlement was trading at .35 a barrel on London’s ICE Futures Europe Exchange at 1:22 p.m. in Singapore, having earlier risen as much as 53 cents, or 0.7 percent, to .81. Yesterday, the contract rose 73 cents, or 1 percent, to .28.
Source | Forex News | http://forexnews-4all.blogspot.com/2009/08/oil-trades-little-changed-ahead-of-us.html
An Energy Department report today will probably show U.S. crude stockpiles increased 600,000 barrels, according to analysts surveyed by forex news-4all.blogspot.com, in contrast to the 1.52 million barrel decline reported yesterday by the industry-funded American Petroleum Institute. Crude had risen as much as 0.6 percent after the API data, which has moved in the same direction as the government figures 76 percent of the time over the past four years, Bloomberg data show.
“The last few weeks, the API report was not in agreement with the DOE report, and there is some caution in the market on it,” said Victor Shum, a senior principal at consultant Purvin & Gertz Inc. in Singapore.
Crude oil for September delivery traded at .28 a barrel, down 14 cents, on the New York Mercantile Exchange at 1:21 p.m. in Singapore. Earlier, it rose 45 cents to .87 a barrel. Yesterday, oil dropped 16 cents, or 0.2 percent, to settle at .42 a barrel.
The dollar rose to .4395 per euro at 1:17 p.m. in Singapore from .4408 in New York yesterday. The U.S. currency declined to .4445 on Aug. 3, the lowest since Dec. 18.
Gasoline Supplies
U.S. gasoline inventories increased 2.1 million barrels to 215.7 million in the week ended July 31, the API report showed. The API collects stockpile information on a voluntary basis from operators of refineries, bulk terminals and pipelines.
“The API numbers seemed to provide a little bit of mild strength to prices,” Toby Hassall, a research analyst at Commodity Warrants Australia Pty in Sydney, said by phone. “This rally has been sentiment driven and it is largely dependent on equities maintaining momentum if oil is going to make new highs for 2009.”
The Energy Department is scheduled to release its report on crude stockpiles for the week ended July 31 at 10:30 a.m. in Washington.
Gasoline for September delivery fell 1.02 cents, or 0.5 percent, to .0465 a gallon in New York at 1:19 p.m. Singapore time. Yesterday, it declined 1.26 cents, or 0.6 percent, to end at .0567.
Brent crude oil for September settlement was trading at .35 a barrel on London’s ICE Futures Europe Exchange at 1:22 p.m. in Singapore, having earlier risen as much as 53 cents, or 0.7 percent, to .81. Yesterday, the contract rose 73 cents, or 1 percent, to .28.
Source | Forex News | http://forexnews-4all.blogspot.com/2009/08/oil-trades-little-changed-ahead-of-us.html
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