Canadian Dollar Drops for First Time in 4 Days on Risk Aversion

Canada’s dollar depreciated after outperforming all other Group of 10 currencies this week as investors shied away from riskier assets such as commodity- linked currencies.
The loonie, as Canada’s dollar is known, weakened for the first time in four days amid speculation New York-based CIT Group Inc., once the biggest independent commercial lender, may go bankrupt. The currency rose 4.6 percent versus the U.S. dollar from July 10 through yesterday as corporate earnings and commodity price gains whetted investor risk appetite. Raw materials account for more than half of Canada’s export revenue.
“The CIT situation is helping a subtext of risk aversion make itself felt even during what has been a rather positive earnings season,” said Sacha Tihanyi, a currency strategist in Toronto at Scotia Capital Inc., a unit of Canada’s third-largest bank. “This is putting some pressure on” the loonie.
The currency weakened 0.5 percent to C.1181 per U.S. dollar at 4:05 p.m. in Toronto, from C.1126 yesterday, when it reached C.1118, the strongest since June 12. One Canadian dollar buys 89.43 U.S. cents.
Investors should buy the Canadian dollar against the yen because risk appetite is improving and Japan’s currency may suffer from political uncertainty, according to Citigroup Inc.
The New York-based bank entered a long Canadian-dollar position against the yen and expects the cross trade will reach 90 yen per loonie, a team of strategists wrote in a research note today. The Canadian currency traded at 83.90 yen. Going long a currency is betting it will rise. That would be a 7.3 percent gain.
‘On the Mend’
“Risk appetite remains clearly on the mend,” the Citigroup analysts wrote. “Since equities, yields and commodities are all tracking higher in the wake of this improvement in sentiment, we suspect that the Canadian dollar may be among the biggest beneficiaries.”
The loonie outperformed all of the 16 most-traded currencies tracked by Bloomberg so far this month, gaining 4 percent. It was the worst performer in June amid concern an economic recovery would be delayed. Australia’s and New Zealand’s currencies, the loonie’s commodity-linked peers, are down 0.1 percent and up 0.3 percent this month, respectively.
“The prospects for the Canadian economy are improving, but if you look at some of the incoming contemporaneous numbers, they’re still pretty weak,” Steve Englander, chief currency strategist at Barclays Capital Inc., said today in a Bloomberg Television interview. “I don’t think the bank of Canada really feels given the current state of the economy that the Canadian dollar should appreciate anywhere close to parity.”
Consumer Prices
Canadian consumer prices fell 0.3 percent last month from a year ago, according to the median forecast of 22 economists surveyed by Bloomberg. The nation’s statistics agency is due to release the data tomorrow at 7 a.m. in Ottawa. Gross domestic product contracted in April for a ninth month, declining 0.1 percent, Statistics Canada reported June 30.
The Bank of Canada is scheduled to meet July 21 on interest rates. The key rate has been at a record low of 0.25 percent since April. Bank Governor Mark Carney halved the key rate to a record low of 0.25 percent in April. In June he said at least twice the “rapid rise” of the nation’s currency, which gained the most in May since 1950, could threaten the economy.
CIT Group said yesterday the U.S. government wouldn’t rescue the company. Talks with regulators broke off and “there is no appreciable likelihood of additional government support being provided over the near term,” CIT said in a statement.
Bonds Rise
Canada’s dollar will weaken to C.13 by the end of the third quarter and C.14 by year-end, according to the median forecast of 35 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News. Michael Woolfolk, senior currency strategist in New York at Bank of New York Mellon Corp., the world’s largest custodial bank, predicted the currency will weaken to C.15 by October before bouncing back to C.10 by January.
Government debt rose, with the 10-year Canadian bond’s yield falling eight basis points, or 0.08 percentage point, to 3.41 percent. The price of the 3.75 percent security due in June 2019 gained 71 cents to C2.85. Canada’s government bonds have lost investors 2.5 percent this year, according to a Merrill Lynch & Co. index.
The nation may need to run budget deficits for a decade if Prime Minister Stephen Harper chooses not to raise taxes or cut spending to erase fiscal shortfalls, Dale Orr, an Economic Insight economist, said today.
Harper told reporters July 10 his government would post budget deficits as long as needed to spur growth, pledging not to adhere to a five-year timetable to balance the budget if that required tax increases or reducing spending.
“There has been quite a roller coaster ride in foreign exchange markets over the course of the last several weeks, and today was no different,” Bank of New York Mellon’s Woolfolk said in an interview. “Even though Canada has a fiscal deficit right now because they’re struggling with a recession, by comparison it’s far smaller than any other of the Group of Seven countries.”

Source | Forex News | http://forexnews-4all.blogspot.com/2009/07/canadian-dollar-drops-for-first-time-in.html

What is a Pip?

The most common increment of currencies is the Pip. If the EUR/USD moves from 1.2250 to 1.2251, that is ONE PIP. A pip is the last decimal place of a quotation. The Pip is how you measure your profit or loss.

As each currency has its own value, it is necessary to calculate the value of a pip for that particular currency. In currencies where the US Dollar is quoted first, the calculation would be as follows.

Let’s take USD/JPY rate at 119.80 (notice this currency pair only goes to two decimal places, most of the other currencies have four decimal places)
In the case of USD/JPY, 1 pip would be .01
Therefore,

USD/JPY:

119.80
.01 divided by exchange rate = pip value
.01 / 119.80 = 0.0000834

This looks like a very long number but later we will discuss lot size.

USD/CHF:

1.5250
.0001 divided by exchange rate = pip value
.0001 / 1.5250 = 0.0000655

USD/CAD:

1.4890
.0001 divided by exchange rate = pip value
.0001 / 1.4890 = 0.00006715

In the case where the US Dollar is not quoted first and we want to get the US Dollar value, we have to add one more step.

EUR/USD:

1.2200

.0001 divided by exchange rate = pip value
so
.0001 / 1.2200 = EUR 0.0008196

but we need to get back to US dollars so we add another calculation which is

EUR x Exchange rate
So
0.0008196 x 1.2200 = 0.00009999

When rounded up it would be 0.0001

GBP/USD:

1.7975

.0001 divided by exchange rate = pip value
So

.0001 / 1.7975 = GBP 0.0000556

But we need to get back to US dollars so we add another calculation which is

GBP x Exchange rate

So
0.0000556 x 1.7975 = 0.0000998

When rounded up it would be 0.0001

You’re probably rolling your eyes back and thinking do I really need to work all this out and the answer is no. Nearly all forex brokers will work all this out for you automatically. It’s always good for you to know how they work it out.

Source | 24/7 UP To Date Forex News - Foreign Exchange Market | http://247forexnews.blogspot.com/2010/11/what-is-pip.html

Trend, Momentum and Timing

When doing technical analysis on forex. There are 3 factors that need to be properly recognise and use. They are trend, momentum and timing.

Trend
Trend is the tendency of movement to a particular direction. When it is uptrend, the price will move up and vice versa.

Momentum.
Momentum is the strength of movement. The stronger the momentum the stronger the move. When the momentum is finished, it will reverse.

Timing
Timing is when u enter the market. Enter only when the profit to risk ratio is good. Other than that better stay out.

Source | 24/7 UP To Date Forex News - Foreign Exchange Market | http://247forexnews.blogspot.com/2010/11/trend-momentum-and-timing.html

Marketiva Scam????

Read some very interesting review on marketiva. It seems that some people classified Marketiva as scam. I dont mind since im still using their . To me marketiva is a learning platform. Btw one review for you to read:

"I would not trust any company with no background info. I had asked to see who or what is behind the company before depositing funds. No response. I believe there is some type of long term scam here. Something is not right compared to other brokers. Also it is a bit strange that you can open an acct. with no I.D. Last but not least, beware the glowing reviews of Marketiva spread out on forums. Most if not all of these posts are made by actual Marketiva admins posing fraudulently as investors. You can easily pick them out. They are the ones using obvious marketing slogans and pushing the free for joining. The is just a ploy to sucker in the new trader.The rest of the posts are from those promoting their referral links.I'm of the opinion that Marketiva is a total bucket shop. Like a ponzi, the money from losers lines the pockets of Marketiva and helps pay the few that make a profit. I seriously doubt any investor's money actually makes it onto the market. 95% of traders lose on average. This makes for a profitable business model especially when the investor is essentially trading on a demo account with real money. They know you are very likely to lose, so your money goes into the bucket and you are left blaming a bad market when you lose when in fact, your money never even made it there.Ok, thats enough ranting. Beware Marketiva and do your own research and due diligence checks on any broker you wish to join.Best of luck out there!"

Source | 24/7 UP To Date Forex News - Foreign Exchange Market | http://247forexnews.blogspot.com/2010/11/marketiva-scam.html

Yen, Dollar Advance on CIT Bankruptcy Concern, Jakarta Blasts

July 17 The yen and the dollar rose as speculation CIT Group Inc. will file for bankruptcy and blasts in Indonesia spurred demand for the currencies as a refuge.
The yen climbed more than 1 percent against the South African rand and the Swedish krona after New-York based CIT, the lender facing insolvency because it failed to obtain guarantees for its bonds, said it’s trying to secure financing. Indonesia’s rupiah fell the most in more than three weeks against the dollar after explosions tore through two hotels in Jakarta.
“In the short term, the Indonesian and CIT concerns will cause some knee-jerk risk aversion,” said Derek Halpenny, European head of global currency research at Bank of Tokyo- Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd. in London. “It’s an obvious first reaction.”
The yen strengthened to 131.99 per euro as of 9:07 a.m. in London, from 132.89 yesterday in New York, and appreciated to 93.70 per dollar, from 93.93. The U.S. currency rose to .4086 per euro, from .4148. The Indonesian rupiah weakened 0.5 percent to 10,175 per dollar, after dropping as much as 1 percent, the most since June 23.
Japan’s new top currency official said today the government would consider stepping into the foreign-exchange market only if abrupt yen moves hurt the economy.
“We’ll make judgments based on whether excessive movements in the currency market will adversely affect the economy,” Rintaro Tamaki, vice finance minister for international affairs, said in a group interview in Tokyo today.
The yen appreciated against all 16 most-actively traded currencies in the past month, while it’s weaker against the same group this year.
CIT Funds
Futures on the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index declined 0.2 percent, signaling U.S. stocks may open lower today. The Dollar Index, which the ICE uses to track the currency against those of six major U.S. trading partners such as the euro and the yen, rose 0.4 percent to 79.528.
CIT may need as much as billion to avoid bankruptcy, CreditSights Inc. analysts said yesterday. CIT executives are seeking billion to billion in financing from the private sector, the Wall Street Journal reported, citing unidentified people familiar with the situation.
The yen gained for a second day against the euro and the British pound as bombs tore through the Ritz Carlton and the JW Marriott hotels in the Jakarta, killing at least nine people and injuring 42 others, police said.
Jakarta Explosions
The blasts in the two hotels were caused by “high explosives,” said Crisnanda, a spokesman for the police. A New Zealander was among those killed, the government in Wellington said.
“The explosions in Indonesia added to the buying of the yen on risk aversion,” said Takao Yahata, senior manager of foreign exchange and financial-products trading in Tokyo at Mitsubishi UFJ Trust and Banking Corp., a unit of Japan’s largest publicly traded lender by assets.
The yen also gained against the dollar on speculation Japanese exporters bought the currency to convert their foreign- exchange earnings before the three-day holiday. Monday is a national holiday in Japan.
“Yen buying by Japanese investors, including exporters, picked up as the yen fell back toward 94 per dollar and beyond,” said Kosei Fujita, a foreign currency dealer in Tokyo at SBI Liquidity Markets Co., a unit of SBI Holdings Inc.
Japanese companies forecast the yen would average 94.85 per dollar in the 12 months to March 2010, according to the Bank of Japan’s quarterly Tankan survey on corporate sentiment and business plans released on July 1.
Dollar Index
The Dollar Index also rose for the first time in three days after U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner repeated that the Obama administration is committed to a “strong” dollar and curbing record budget deficits to achieve that objective.
Geithner said the dollar’s role in international finance places “special responsibilities” on the U.S. to sustain confidence in its financial system, according to an Internet chat with Les Echos newspaper yesterday.
“This was similar to well-timed comments by top U.S. officials to hold up confidence whenever U.S. stocks looked fragile,” Philip Wee, senior currency economist in Singapore at DBS Group Holdings Ltd., wrote in a research note today. “If so, U.S. officials may find further dollar weakness from here a threat to their efforts to dig the economy out of recession.”
The dollar and the yen still headed for their biggest weekly loss in two months against the euro as stocks advanced worldwide, reducing demand for the U.S. and Japanese currencies as a haven from the global recession.
Emerging Markets
“The currencies of emerging markets and resource-rich nations fare well against the dollar and the yen when stocks are on the rising trend, reflecting optimism about the economy,” said Yuji Kameoka, a strategist in Tokyo at Daiwa Institute of Research Ltd., a unit of Japan’s second-largest brokerage group. “The recent retreat in optimism and the re-emergence of risk- aversion may be a blip.”
The Nikkei 225 Stock Average rose 0.6 percent and the MSCI World Index climbed 0.3 percent, having gained 6.7 percent this week, the most since March.
The Canadian dollar appreciated the most of the 16 major currencies against the yen this week, climbing 5.4 percent to 83.80 yen. The Australian dollar advanced 4.1 percent over the past five days to 75 yen.

Source | Forex News | http://forexnews-4all.blogspot.com/2009/07/yen-dollar-advance-on-cit-bankruptcy.html

Free Forex Signal

Everybody likes free things. So do I but I like to give free things as well. In the future I will post Free Forex Signal in this blog. Before anyone trade on those free forex signal, I would like to warn you that I will not take responsibility on any profit or lost by using my free forex signal.

If anyone here like to see what kind of signal I give here is one example . Btw in that signal gbp/usd gave me over 300 pips. Happy trading.

Source | 24/7 UP To Date Forex News - Foreign Exchange Market | http://247forexnews.blogspot.com/2010/11/free-forex-signal.html

555 Forex Trading System

FOREX TRADING SYSTEM

This forex trading system is part of my full forex trading system. I post it just to help out new traders to develop their own trading system. This forex system can be use on all pairs. It is far from perfect but can give you an idea how to trade and develop your own forex trading system. Maybe in the future if you manage to improve this system you may want to share with me. Anyway here it goes.

Time Frame : 4 hours
MA's : SMA5 or SMA8 which ever suits you better, SMA55
TSF : Period=55
Bollinger Band : MA=simple, Period=55, Multiple=2.0
Stochastic Slow : Period = 10,3,3, simple, simple
Stochastic Fast : Period = 13,3 Exponential

FOREX CHARTS

For the 1st chart I use usd/jpy pair for 4 hour timeframe. Remember this forex system is designed for 4 hour time frame but can be use on all pairs. In this forex system, MA8 (Red) and TSF55 (Blue) is the indicator for long or short trade. When the red is above blue = long and vice versa. BB55 and SMA55 is the target. Both the stochastic is for confirmation on trade position.
When price is at BB55 either at the top or bottom and both stochastic is showing extreme value, it may signal a reversal. A confirm reversal is when price broke the red and blue line. The price itself is the ultimate indicator. Once the price broke the 2 lines, find the best possible entry. Normally the best entry is when the price is at the blue line. If after you enter the trade, and the price gain momentum in your favour just let it run and ride it till its finish.
Below is the explaination for the above chart

1. Price spike out of BB55. As mentioned before, BB55 acts as targets. In this case usd/jpy already reach its target based on this system but the momentum is still strong based on distance of Red and Blue line.
2. Price spike out of BB55 again but this time the price close below the Red line. This indicates the momentum is dead and a reversal coming soon.
3. Ideal entry. Red below Blue line indicates a short position. Price is at the Blue line. Short now and let it run until it meet BB55 at the bottom
4. Price went through BB55 and then goes flat at this point. It is making its way back into BB55 and a flat Red line indicating the momentum is dead and a reversal is coming soon. At this point the entry for long position is the lowest price inside BB55.
5. Price spike out of BB55 but cannot make new high. This is where I exit and enter a new short position. Let it run until the momentum is dead.

If you look at point 1,2,3 and 5. All are high point and all of them is higher than the previous high. This is and indication that usd/jpy is actually going up but as forex moves in waves we sometimes get lost and fail to see the big picture. In this case what ever you do, follow the trend and always remember that the big picture is usd/jpy is going uptrend. Be prepare if the market suddenly shoot up. Remember always use stop loss properly. Forex is a risky market, do manage your risk properly.

Source | 24/7 UP To Date Forex News - Foreign Exchange Market | http://247forexnews.blogspot.com/2010/11/555-forex-trading-system.html

U.S. Stocks Gain, S&P 500 Jumps to Highest Level Since November

U.S. stocks rose, sending the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index to its highest level since November, as a gauge of future economic growth topped projections and speculation grew that CIT Group Inc. will avoid bankruptcy.
Caterpillar Inc. and Alcoa Inc. rallied at least 3.7 percent as the Conference Board’s gauge of the economic outlook increased for a third straight month. CIT Group jumped 79 percent as a person briefed on the board’s deliberations said the lender has reached a financing agreement with bondholders. Hasbro Inc. and Eaton Corp. gained at least 4.2 percent on earnings that beat analysts’ estimates.
The S&P 500 added 1.1 percent to 951.13 at 4:05 p.m. in New York, its best close since Nov. 5. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rallied 104.21 points, or 1.2 percent, to 8,848.15, erasing its loss for the year and closing at a six-month high. Europe’s Dow Jones Stoxx 600 Index climbed 1.2 percent and the MSCI Asia-Pacific Index increased 1.4 percent.
“Given the general weakness of the economy and concerns over corporate profitability going into the second quarter, reports to date have been a pleasant surprise,” said Dean Gulis, part of a group that manages .5 billion for Loomis Sayles & Co. in Bloomfield Hills, Michigan. “This week it’s going to continue to rally. The worm has turned a little bit. People are feeling better about the economy.”
Forecast Raised
All 10 industry groups in the S&P 500 rose today, led by consumer, commodity and industrial shares. Goldman Sachs boosted its forecast for the index, saying improving earnings will spur the steepest second-half rally since 1982. The bank raised its year-end target for the S&P 500 to 1,060, a 15 percent increase from strategist David Kostin’s projection of 940 on June 30.
Earnings topped analysts’ estimates by an average of 15 percent for S&P 500 companies that reported quarterly results since July 8, according to data compiled by Bloomberg, with 35 out of 43, or 81 percent, beating estimates. Analysts forecast profits fell an average 33 percent in the second quarter and will decrease 20 percent from July through September, according to data.
The S&P 500 jumped 7 percent last week as companies from Goldman Sachs Group Inc. to Intel Corp. and Johnson & Johnson reported results that topped analysts’ estimates. The benchmark index has rebounded 41 percent from its 12-year low on March 9 amid speculation the economy is recovering.
Stocks rallied today after the index of leading U.S. indicators reinforced signs the economy may be emerging from the worst recession in five decades. The Conference Board’s gauge of the outlook for the next three to six months increased 0.7 percent, more than forecast, and climbed three straight months for the first time since 2004.
Anticipating Cash Return
U.S. equities are rallying as the market anticipates cash coming back into equities, Laszlo Birinyi president of Birinyi Associates Inc., wrote in a note to clients today.
“We would argue that the most critical element was simply that we are in a bull market,” wrote Birinyi, who helps oversee 0 million for the Westport, Connecticut firm. “When one has an oversold market with liquidity, negative investors, and obvious and articulated concerns, the market will rally.”
Alcoa, the largest U.S. aluminum producer, rose 3.7 percent to .60, while Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc., the biggest publicly traded copper producer, added 2.7 percent to .
Metals Rally
Copper prices rose to a nine-month high in New York on speculation that metals consumption will gain as the global economy recovers. Gold, silver, zinc and tin also led a rally in metals.
CIT Group surged 55 cents to .25. The 101-year-old commercial-finance company seeking to ward off bankruptcy agreed to a billion loan for 2.5 years from a group of its bondholders, according to people who declined to be identified because the negotiations are private. The New York-based lender needed to strike a deal with bondholders to reduce debt after the U.S. declined to give the firm a second bailout.
“Its importance for the small-business sector is dramatic,” Kevin Shacknofsky, who manages billion for Alpine Mutual Funds in Purchase, New York, said of CIT. “The rest of the financial industry sees the importance of CIT and they didn’t’ let it fail. That gives the market confidence.”
Caterpillar, the world’s largest maker of construction equipment, surged 7.8 percent to .65 after being upgraded to “buy” from “hold” by Bank of America Corp., which cited a bottom in the construction market.
Hasbro, Eaton Jump
Hasbro Inc., the world’s second-largest toymaker, gained 4.2 percent to .45 after second-quarter profit rose from sales of toys based on “Transformers” and “G.I. Joe.” Net income increased to .3 million, or 26 cents a share, from .5 million, or 25 cents, a year earlier. Analysts projected profit of 23 cents a share on average.
Eaton Corp., the maker of circuit breakers and fuel pumps, jumped 8.9 percent to .94 after posting second-quarter earnings, excluding some items, of 23 cents a share that beat the average analyst estimate in a Bloomberg survey by 50 percent.
Human Genome Sciences Inc., the producer of gene-based therapies, more than tripled to .51. GlaxoSmithKline Plc and Human Genome said their experimental lupus drug reduced patients’ symptoms in a yearlong study. U.S. shares of Glaxo, the U.K.’s largest drugmaker, gained 4 percent to .81. CBS Corp. jumped 10 percent to .43 after the owner of the most-watched TV network was raised to “overweight” at Morgan Stanley, which said investors may be drawn to its local advertising business in 2010.
Wynn, Halliburton
Wynn Resorts Ltd., the casino company founded by Stephen Wynn, surged 10 percent to .83 for the second-best advance in the S&P 500 after CIT. Las Vegas Sands Corp. said it plans to apply for an initial public offering of shares in its Macau casinos. Wynn reported 61 percent of its revenue from Macau in the most-recent quarter, according to Bloomberg data. Las Vegas Sands jumped 15 percent to .86.
Halliburton Co. the world’s second-largest oilfield- services provider, gained 4.4 percent to .33 after posting second-quarter earnings, excluding some items, of 30 cents a share to surpass the average analyst estimate in a Bloomberg survey by 13 percent.
The cheapest valuations in at least 14 years are making energy companies too alluring to pass up for UBS AG and Guggenheim Partners LLC, even though earnings in the industry may fall 48 percent this year. Oil and gas producers in the MSCI World Index traded at .84 per dollar of profit this month, less than half the average of .10 in the gauge of developed markets and the widest gap since at least 1995, data compiled by Bloomberg show.
Bank of America, Tyson Slump
Bank of America lost 5 percent to .24 after FBR Capital Markets said the largest U.S. lender by assets may post further losses in the second half as the job market deteriorates. The lender was also downgraded to “in-line” from “outperform” at Fox-Pitt Kelton Cochran Caronia Waller. Tyson Foods Inc. sank 9.3 percent to .47. The largest meat producer was downgraded to “hold” from “buy” at Deutsche Bank and cut to “market perform” from “outperform” by BMO Capital Markets.

Source | Forex News | http://forexnews-4all.blogspot.com/2009/07/us-stocks-gain-s-500-jumps-to-highest.html

Forex Signal

USD/CAD

usd/cad is currently at 1.1270 with a high of 1.1305. Looking at the chart, it has lost its momentum eventhough the uptrend is still intact. It may hover around 1.1240 - 1.1310 for a while.
Possible Trade:
Short usd/cad @ 1.1300 or better.
Target: 1.1180, 1.11201, 1.1080.
Caution:
If usd/cad overshoot 1.1315, then its possible that it will go long. This is because usd/cad is currently going uptrend. It will be constantly making new high.

Source | 24/7 UP To Date Forex News - Foreign Exchange Market | http://247forexnews.blogspot.com/2010/11/forex-signal.html

Forex Trade Review

Last Friday, Non-Farm Payrolls is out. This is like fuel for Usd and it effect all pair especially eur/usd and gbp/usd. Last friday the report came out a mixed bag. People are confused and the price swing up and down. I was on the losing side of the trade but because of the swing at certain point I was 30 pips up but because Marketiva usually lock out during news hour, I finally end up at a lost. Well its forex anyway. If you dont lose in forex you dont feel the thrill.

Anyway Im going to review few pairs. Maybe some of you can find a trade from my review. As for me I am currently out of the market waiting for it to come to sense. Currently all pairs are at extreme oversold or overbought.

Eur/Usd
Currently at 1.2532 after a drop of almost 200 pips. Currently its on a thin downtrend with a possible target of 1.2450. For those of you who are already on a short position, you may hold the position with trailing stop loss of your choice. For me I will only consider an entry at 1.2450, that will depend on the strength of the momentum.

Gbp/Usd
Currently at 1.8540 and just like eur/usd it drop like a rock during NFP report out. Possible target is 1.8200. Looks like a retrace coming soon. Just watch the trend and momentum for possible entry. I will be looking at this one.

Usd/Cad
Currently at 1.1330. My last signal manage to get me 30 pips. Too small for the effort. Currently going up with possible target of 1.1450. Overshot all indicators. Possible retrace at 1.1360. I will be watching this one.

This is my review. Its not a trade recommendation. Be very carefull on your trade coz forex is a risky market. If you are not sure better stay out until the market make some sense. Happy trading.

Source | 24/7 UP To Date Forex News - Foreign Exchange Market | http://247forexnews.blogspot.com/2010/11/forex-trade-review.html

Dollar May Weaken Against Euro, Yen, Citigroup Says

July 21 The U.S. dollar may weaken against the euro, the yen and the Australian dollar as global sentiment turns against the greenback, according to Citigroup Inc.
The euro may extend this month’s gains versus the dollar as buying by sovereign wealth managers and central banks bolsters the 16-nation currency, Citigroup said in a monthly note on its foreign-exchange forecasts. The yen may strengthen against the dollar as Japan’s economy begins to rebound, attracting investors to the Asian nation’s assets, the bank said.
“We detect evidence that underlying sentiment remains U.S. dollar negative,” Citigroup analysts including Jeremy Hale, London-based head of macro strategy, wrote in the note to clients yesterday.
The euro will climb to .43 in three months and reach .45 in six to 12 months, Citigroup said in the note. The yen will rise to 93 per dollar in three months and strengthen to 90 in six to 12 months, the company said.
The dollar traded at .4200 per euro and 93.94 yen as of 8:28 a.m. in London.
The Australian dollar is likely to lead gains among so- called commodity currencies, the analysts wrote.
Australia’s currency will advance to 83 U.S. cents in six to 12 months and New Zealand’s currency will rise to 66 cents, the company said. The so-called Aussie traded at 81.21 U.S. cents and New Zealand’s dollar was at 65.30 cents.

Source | Forex News | http://forexnews-4all.blogspot.com/2009/07/dollar-may-weaken-against-euro-yen.html

Free Forex Signal

Eur/Usd

Eur/Usd is currently at 1.2862. From my calculation Eur/Usd has an upper range of 1.2880 - 1.2950. Possible trade is short Eur/Usd @ 1.2880 or better.

Gbp/Usd
Gbp/Usd is currently at 1.9102. As stated in my other blog, possible trade is short Gbp/Usd @ 1.9100 or better wih upper range of 1.9100 -1.9150

Aud/Usd
Possible trade short Aud/Usd @ 0.7710 or better. Already gone down now. Btw i shorted from 0.7751. Its a good trade so far.

Source | 24/7 UP To Date Forex News - Foreign Exchange Market | http://247forexnews.blogspot.com/2010/11/free-forex-signal_24.html

In The Land Of Forex

In The Land Of Forex, Trend Is King

Those are the words i hold on to in forex. No matter what happen in technical or fundamental study. Always follow the trend. Trend is king. Follow the king and you will be rewarded handsomely.

Source | 24/7 UP To Date Forex News - Foreign Exchange Market | http://247forexnews.blogspot.com/2010/11/in-land-of-forex.html

RBA Says Australian Rate Cuts Helping Stoke Demand

Australia’s benchmark interest rate at a half-century low of 3 percent is helping drive economic growth amid signs domestic demand is more resilient than expected, the central bank said.
“Members judged the current stance of monetary policy to be consistent with fostering sustainable growth and low inflation,” while still giving the bank scope to cut borrowing costs “at a later stage” if needed, policy makers said in minutes of their July 7 meeting released in Sydney today.
The full impact of Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Glenn Stevens’ decision to slash the overnight cash rate target by a record 4.25 percentage points between September and April will “still be coming through for some time,” the minutes said. Australia’s economy has survived the most dangerous phase of the global recession and will expand faster than the government forecasts, research company Access Economics said today.
“The Reserve Bank seems to be tentatively saying the worst is over,” said Annette Beacher, senior fixed-income strategist at TD Securities Ltd. in Singapore. “I got the impression that if they are going to ease, that would be at a later stage.”
The Australian dollar traded at 81.33 U.S. cents at 2:50 p.m. in Sydney from 81.22 cents before the minutes were released. The two-year government bond yield was unchanged at 4.02 percent.
Rate Unchanged
Policy makers left the benchmark rate unchanged two weeks ago for a third month after a report showed gross domestic product unexpectedly grew 0.4 percent in the three months through March 31 after shrinking 0.6 percent in the fourth quarter. Economists had forecast a 0.2 percent contraction.
“The early and substantial easing of both monetary and fiscal policy had been effective in supporting demand, which, if anything, had been more resilient than expected,” today’s minutes said.
Further signs that the economy isn’t as weak as expected include “surprisingly strong” exports, helped by demand from China, reports that some mining companies and ports are “again operating close to capacity,” rising household spending, car sales and demand for homes, the minutes said.
The number of cars sold in June rose 5.7 percent, the third month of gains, to the highest level since August 2008, a government report showed today.
Global Economy
There are “further signs of stabilization in the world economy,” the central bank said today. “In Japan, recent data had been more encouraging than they had been for some time.”
The Bank of Japan last week raised its economic assessment for a third month, citing an increase in government spending and rebounds in factory output and exports. The economy has “stopped worsening,” the BOJ said, while adding that the economic outlook is “uncertain.”
China’s economy grew a stronger-than-expected 7.9 percent in the second quarter from a year earlier, a report showed last week. Singapore’s GDP also expanded faster than anticipated.
For Australia, “the outlook remained for a gradual recovery to begin later in the year,” the Reserve Bank said.
While the labor market is likely to remain “soft for some time,” there are signs employers are trying to limit job cuts.
“The current inflation outlook afforded scope for some further easing of monetary policy, if that were to be needed to give further support to demand at a later stage,” the bank said.
Consumer Prices
Consumer prices probably rose 1.5 percent in the second quarter from a year earlier, slowing from an annual 2.5 percent gain in the first quarter, according to the median estimate of 19 economists surveyed. The consumer price index will be released at 11:30 a.m. in Sydney tomorrow.
The economy will expand 0.4 percent in the 12 months through June 2010, compared with the Treasury department’s prediction of a 0.5 percent contraction, Chris Richardson, head of Canberra-based Access Economics said in a report today. Three months ago, Access forecast a 0.2 percent decline.
“Australia made it through the most dangerous phase of the global recession with only collateral damage,” Richardson said.
Investors have increased bets Australia’s benchmark interest rate will be higher in 12 months, according to a Credit Suisse Group AG index based on swaps trading.
Traders forecast the key rate will be 76 basis points higher in a year, the index showed at 2:43 p.m. in Sydney. At the start of June, they forecast 3 basis points of reductions. A basis point is 0.01 percentage point.
“We appear to be getting to the bottom end of the interest rate cycle,” Westpac Banking Corp. Chief Executive Officer Gail Kelly said at a business lunch in Sydney today.

Source | Forex News | http://forexnews-4all.blogspot.com/2009/07/rba-says-australian-rate-cuts-helping_21.html

U.S. Stocks Advance on Caterpillar Earnings, Bernanke Remarks

U.S. stocks rose, extending the Dow Jones Industrial Average’s longest rally in two years, as Caterpillar Inc.’s earnings tripled analyst estimates and Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke said there are signs the economy is stabilizing.
Caterpillar, the biggest maker of bulldozers, jumped 7.7 percent to lead the Dow to a seventh straight gain. Merck & Co. added 6.1 percent as job cuts helped it post better-than- estimated earnings. Banks slid, limiting the market’s advance, after CIT Group Inc. said it may need to file for bankruptcy if a plan to repurchase debt fails and Regions Financial Corp. and Zions Bancorporation posted quarterly losses on bad loans.
The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index added 0.4 percent to 954.58 at 4:05 p.m. in New York, maintaining its highest level in more than eight months. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rallied 67.79 points, or 0.8 percent, to 8,915.94 to extend its gain since July 10 to 9.4 percent. The MSCI World Index increased 0.9 percent to the highest level since Nov. 4.
“Beating expectations shows they are in slightly better shape than most investors thought,” said Eric Thorne, who helps oversee .5 billion at Bryn Mawr Trust Co. in Bryn Mawr, Pa. “The fact that numbers are slightly above estimates is a sign to us that we are in the beginning stages of an economic recovery.”
Earnings Top Estimates
Per-share earnings beat analysts’ projections by an average of 14 percent for the 70 companies in the S&P 500 that reported quarterly results since July 8, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Analysts forecast profits fell an average 33 percent in the second quarter and will decrease 20 percent from July through September, according to Bloomberg data.
The S&P 500 rallied 1.1 percent yesterday as a gauge of future economic growth topped projections. The benchmark for U.S. equities advanced 7 percent last week as companies from Goldman Sachs Group Inc. to Intel Corp. reported results that topped estimates.
Treasuries climbed the most in almost two weeks today, sending the 10-year note yield down 13 basis points to 3.48 percent, as Bernanke said “limited inflation pressures” will allow policy makers to keep interest rates near zero for an “extended period.” Bernanke, in his semi-annual testimony before the House Financial Services Committee, also said the economy is showing “tentative signs of stabilization.”
Caterpillar Rallies
Caterpillar, the world’s largest maker of bulldozers and excavators, rallied 7.7 percent to .46 after government stimulus programs and improved credit markets helped stabilize demand for the world’s largest maker of bulldozers and excavators. Profit excluding some costs was 72 cents a share, surpassing the 22-cent average estimate of 20 analysts surveyed by Bloomberg. The company also raised its full-year forecast. Merck rose 6.1 percent to .65 after the drugmaker that is buying rival Schering-Plough Corp. said second-quarter earnings were 83 cents a share, surpassing the 77-cent average estimate of analysts.
Exxon Mobil Corp., the largest U.S. oil company, added 2.2 percent to .47 as oil futures erased an earlier loss and gained 1.2 percent to .72 a barrel in New York. Chevron Corp., the second-largest U.S. oil producer, added 61 cents .25.
International Paper Co. gained 6.4 percent to .55, the highest price since Oct. 29, after the largest U.S. maker of cardboard shipping boxes was raised to “buy” from “hold” at Deutsche Bank AG, which said containerboard pricing was stable in June.
New York Times Co. advanced 5.6 percent to .42 after the Boston Globe’s largest union approved a contract for million in annual cuts in a decision that may reduce losses at the newspaper and help its owner negotiate a sale.
Credit Suisse Says to Buy
Credit Suisse Group AG today advised investors to buy equities and trim their holdings of government bonds, reversing a recommendation from June. The bank raised its estimate for the S&P 500 by 14 percent to 1,050 by the end of the year, citing improving economic indicators and earnings. Goldman Sachs yesterday boosted its year-end estimate for the measure to 1,060, implying a 15 percent surge between June 30 and Dec. 31. That would be the steepest second-half rally since 1982.
The S&P 500 has rallied 41 percent from a 12-year low on March 9 amid speculation the economy and companies are recovering from the worst recession in more than half a century and the longest slump in quarterly earnings on record.
More Gains Predicted
U.S. stocks will likely continue to advance, according to John Murphy, chief technical analyst at StockCharts.com. The S&P 500 rose to a new high for the year today on an intraday basis, touching 956.53. Since the index exceeded 956, it’s likely to advance to about 1,000, for a gain of 50 percent from the 12- year intraday low of 666.79 on March 6, Murphy said.
Indications that the S&P 500’s run is likely to continue include the performance of the cumulative advance-decline line for securities listed on the New York Stock Exchange, Murphy said. The index, which tallies the number of daily gains for individual securities minus the number of declines since its August 1996 inception, rose 4.2 percent to a 10-month high of 39,961 yesterday.
“Most people missed the lows and continue to treat this as a rally in a bear market,” said Jeffrey Saut, chief investment strategist at Raymond James & Associates in St. Petersburg, Florida, which manages 2 billion. “Hey folks, every bull market that I’ve seen began being called a short-term rally in a bear market.”
CIT Slumps
CIT, the 101-year-old commercial lender, fell 22 percent to 98 cents after saying its “existing liquidity” isn’t enough to repay billion of floating-rate notes maturing on Aug. 17. The lender, which announced a billion rescue financing from its bondholders yesterday, has asked holders of the August notes to swap their claims for 82.5 cents on the dollar.
A gauge of financial shares was the largest drag on the S&P 500 among 10 industry groups as Regions dropped 15 percent to .42, Zions declined 13 percent to .68 and Comerica Inc. lost 10 percent .51.
Lexmark International Inc. had the second-biggest drop in the S&P 500 after CIT, losing 20 percent to .08, after the second-largest U.S. printer maker said third-quarter profit may be as low as 40 cents a share, below the 52-cent average of analyst estimates compiled by news.
Lockheed Martin Corp., the world’s largest defense company, lost 8.5 percent to .13 after the company posted its largest profit drop in more than five years and the U.S. Senate voted to end funds for its F-22 jet.

Source | Forex News | http://forexnews-4all.blogspot.com/2009/07/us-stocks-advance-on-caterpillar.html

match Arsenal vs Chorausebre Town مباراة ارسنال وشوروسبري تاون بث مباشر

مشاهدة مباراة ارسنال وشوروسبري تاون بث مباشر,كأس رابطة المحترفين الإنجليزية 2011/2012, اليوم 20/9/2011 match Arsenal vs Chorausebre Town


Arsenal vs Chorausebre Town

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مشاهدة مباراة ارسنال امام شوروسبري تاون في نقل حي ومباشر لكاس رابطة المحترفيين الانجليزية 2011/2012 حصريا علي كوة اونلاين


تم وضع القنوات انتظر المباراة



18:45

آرسنال -- : -- شوروسبري تاون

الدورالثالث

وانضم معنا ليصلك كل جديد


نتمنى لكم اسعد الاوقات

للدخول للمدونة

اكتب فى جوجل

Gold and Forex News

او انسخ الرابط

اهو

http://gold-forex-news.blogspot.com/

Source | Gold and Forex News | http://gold-forex-news.blogspot.com/2011/09/match-arsenal-vs-chorausebre-town.html

Free Forex Signal

Its been a while since I posted signal. Anyway here it is. Hope its good.

1. Short Aud/Usd @ 0.7905 or better. Target 0.7850, 0.7780.

2. Long Usd/Jpy @ 114.80 or better. Target 115.60, 116.70.

Happy Trading. Btw I cannot be held responsible for any loss from the signal above.

Source | 24/7 UP To Date Forex News - Foreign Exchange Market | http://247forexnews.blogspot.com/2010/11/free-forex-signal_4668.html

US dollar hits 5-day high against Icelandic krona, Wednesday, September 24, 2008 7:22:11 AM

During early European deals on Tuesday, the US dollar climbed to a 5-day high against the Icelandic krona. The dollar also showed strength against its Scandinavian counterparts.

Against the Swedish krona, the US dollar traded higher during early deals on Wednesday. At 5:30 am ET, the dollar-krona pair reached a high of 6.5855, compared to 6.5766 hit late New York Tuesday. The pair is currently trading at 6.5774.

The Swedish central bank and the Federal Reserve agreed today on a US billion swap facility in order to improve liquidity conditions in global financial markets. The swap facility will expire on January 30, 2009.

Sweden`s economic tendency indicator, which measures business and consumer confidence in the economy, rose marginally to 86.0 in September from 85.6 in August, results of the latest economic tendency survey released by the National Institute of Economic Research, or NIER, showed today.

Further, the survey found that confidence in the Swedish manufacturing sector continued to decrease in September. The corresponding indicator fell to minus 14 from minus 12 in August. In July, the indicator logged minus 11. The September reading was in line with the consensus forecast.

The confidence indicator for the Swedish industry as a whole declined to minus 2 from minus 1 in August and plus 4 in July. On the other hand, the consumer confidence index rose to minus 14.4 from minus 16.5, while economists were expecting the index to fell to minus 17.

The US currency that closed Tuesday`s North American session at 5.6157 against the Norwegian krone edged higher to 5.6239 at 3:55 am ET Wednesday. The dollar-krone is now worth 5.6115.

Against its Danish counterpart, the greenback showed strength during Wednesday`s early deals. At about 4:05 am ET, the pair reached 5.0972, compared to Tuesday`s closing value of 5.0938. The pair is currently quoted at 5.0850.

Denmark`s national statistics office said today that the consumer confidence index rose to minus 11.1 in September from minus 12.2 in August.

The US dollar traded higher against the Icelandic krona during today`s early deals. At 5:35 am ET, the dollar-krona pair hit a 5-day high of 95.49, compared to Tuesday`s North American session close of 94.67.

The Statistics Iceland announced that the Consumer Price Index or CPI rose 14% year-on-year in September, smaller than the 14.5% rise recorded in August, which was its fastest pace since June 1990. Economists had expected for an increase of 14.2%. This was the first decline in the annual inflation rate since January.

The greenback that closed yesterday`s New York deals at 3.4201 touched a low of 3.4083 against the Israeli shekel at 5:45 am ET Wednesday. The dollar-shekel pair is currently trading at 3.4143.

The US dollar largely bounced between 8.17 and 8.10 against the South African rand during Wednesday`s early deals. The dollar-rand pair that closed Tuesday`s deals at 8.2037 is now worth 8.1525.

In central bank action, the Norges Bank is expected to announce its latest interest rate decision at 8am Eastern Time.
The economic reports scheduled for release in the U.S. include existing home sales for August and MBA mortgage applications for September. Additionally, investors may focus on Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke`s testimony at Congress` joint economic committee.

Source | Forex News | http://forexfx-news.blogspot.com/2008/09/us-dollar-hits-5-day-high-against.html

How To Create Your Own Forex System

Everyone must start from scratch in Forex. Some people may have the advantage in certain way but we are all equal in the land of forex.

In the beginning, most of you will try out different system and indicators. This is the process of learning. Some people may have up to 20 indicators on screen but in the end those indicators will be cut down to maybe just 3-5.

This happen because the human brain is the best processor there is. With experience we will learn the behaviour of forex and reduce the need for indicators. I have a few friends that finally develop their own trading system and they are profitable up till today. How do i know they are in profit? That is because they have been trading forex for more than a year now.

In forex there a lot of indicators available on the internet. In order for you to create your own trading system, you must understand that less is more. The less indicators you use the easier it is to trade. Lets start on how I created my own trade system.

Of all the indicators that you have tested, take the best 5 and list them down from the best to the worst. Load all the indicators on screen. Look at how the interect with each other. The best indicator is your main signal. This where your buy or sell decision comes from. Your 2nd best indicator is your filter. 3rd your target entry or exit. 4th trend indicator.

Personally nowdays i need only 1 indicator if im scalping. The most simple system is the best. In order to do long term trade i need a few indicators since finding the best entry point is a bit tricky. Below are the list of indicators im using. Maybe could give you some ideas:

1. William %R
2. MACD
3. EMA
4. Kijun Sen

Those are my indicators. Only 4 listed from best to worst. Btw William %R is a really good one if you know how to use it. Happy trading

Source | 24/7 UP To Date Forex News - Foreign Exchange Market | http://247forexnews.blogspot.com/2010/11/how-to-create-your-own-forex-system.html

Dollar Advances Against Most East European Currencies, Wednesday, September 24, 2008 7:35:36 AM

The dollar advanced against the Czech koruna, Slovakian koruna and Polish Zloty during early deals on Wednesday. But the dollar weakened against the Turkish lira and the Hungarian forint, but moved range-bound versus the Estonian kroon

From US, the existing home sales report is scheduled at 10:00 am ET today. The US Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke`s testimony at Congress`s Joint Economic Committee is also scheduled at 10:00 am ET.

The dollar climbed to a 2-day high of 16.5750 against the Czech koruna by about 7:00 am ET Wednesday. The pair was worth 16.4800 at Tuesday`s close.

Against its Turkish counterpart, the dollar showed weakness during Wednesday`s early deals. At about 3:10 am ET, the dollar-lira weakened to 1.2374, compared to Tuesday`s closing value of 1.2453. Thereafter, the dollar has gained slightly and is presently trading at 1.2423.

The Turkish statistical office, Turkstat said the Production Workers Index rose 0.6% year-on-year and stood at 85.8 in the second quarter from 86.2 recorded in the first quarter. In the first quarter, the number of production workers was up 1.7%. A year-ago, the index was up 2%.

Against the Hungarian forint, the dollar fell after rising to a 2-day high of 164.64 by about 4:05 am ET. Presently the pair is trading at 164.07, compared to Tuesday`s closing value of 164.76.

In economic news, the volume of retail sales in Hungary declined year-on-year in July, a report by the Hungarian Statistical Office said today.

Retail sales volume fell a calendar-adjusted 1.8% in July compared with a 1.9% decline in June. The sales volume at current prices increased to HUF 556.7 billion from HUF 535 billion in the previous month. On a monthly basis, retail sales declined a seasonally and calendar adjusted 0.1% in July compared with a 0.3% fall in the previous month.

The US currency that was worth 20.6720 against the Slovakian koruna at yesterday`s close, hit as high as 20.6850 by about 7:00 am ET Wednesday.

The US dollar started ticking up against the Polish Zloty by about 2:45 am ET Wednesday. The dollar climbed from 2.2430 to 2.2697 by about 7:20 am ET. The pair was worth at 2.2607 Tuesday`s close.

The greenback largely moved sideways against the Estonian kroon during Wednesday`s early trading. The greenback largely bounced between 10.6850 and 10.6420, compared to 10.6470 hit late yesterday in New York. As of now, the pair is trading at 10.66.

Source | Forex News | http://forexfx-news.blogspot.com/2008/09/dollar-advances-against-most-east.html