Showing posts with label Pound/Euro. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Pound/Euro. Show all posts

Monday, December 17, 2012

Pound/Euro rates continue to fall


Monday 17th December 2012


Good morning. As always for a Monday, today I'll take a look back at last weeks movements, and what may happen to exchange rates in the run up to Christmas. The Pound/Euro rate fell steadily last week, to it's lowest rate in nearly 7 months.





In this week’s Report: 


  • UK’s AAA Credit Rating under threat 

  • Pound/Euro rates continue to fall 

  • Sterling Dollar remains near 2 month high 

  • Round up of the week’s other data that may affect rates  



Sterling vs. Euro; 





Last week we saw sterling euro rates steadily decline on the back of several positive data releases from the Eurozone, coupled with negative data from the UK. In this week’s euro report we’ll look at what those releases mean and how they have affected the single currency and sterling. 





The main driving force behind the movements was due to a newly agreed plan to make the European Central Bank (ECB) the Chief Regulator of European banks. This in turn paves the way for direct recapitalisation of struggling Eurozone banks using funds from the €500 billion European Stability Mechanism (ESM). 





The news that the ECB will regulating struggling European banks coupled with the possibility that the UK could have its credit rating downgraded from its prestigious AAA all helped the single currency gain ground on a now floundering pound , making the 4 and a half year highs of 1.2860 seen only a few months back seem a distant memory. 





Rates are now at their lowest in quite some time, and give or take a point, you have to go back to May to see rates significantly lower. This is great news for anybody looking to sell Euros, however anyone with a requirement to buy Euros should consider their options now to protect themselves against further falls in the rate. 





The Christmas period is expected to be just as volatile as we expect more news from the EU summit that took place last week along with the typically reduced trading that happens at this time which makes the market more sensitive to any data releases. 





If you are buying/selling Euros what should you do?





If you have a euro purchase in the near future a forward contract enables you to fix a rate of exchange today for anything up too two years into the future and remove and risk from the market, protecting you from any volatility and giving you one less worry over Christmas. Alternatively if you think rates will recover, consider a Stop Loss order.  





A stop loss enables you to place a trigger at a pre-agreed level in the market to give you a ‘worse case’ scenario. In this way you can still hope rates recover, but have a 'safety net' should they fall. 





This is also perfect for any euro sellers at the moment, who may well be riding the rates in the right direction, however should the UK not find its credit rating downgraded we can expect to see it regain some of the ground it has lost to the single currency over recent weeks. 





Either way you look at the market it is a difficult time to gauge any future movements, reinforcing the importance if having a good currency broker on your side. 



Why not contact me for a free consultation? In this way we can discuss all the options available to you, so you can make an informed decision on when to fix your rate and what type of contract to take. 






Weekly Economic Data that may affect exchange rates 





Monday – The only UK data of note today are the latest House Prices from Rightmove. IN the Eurozone, we have Trade Balance figures. In the USA there is a speech from the FED. 





Tuesday – Lots from the UK today including Consumer Price Index, Producer Price Index, Retail Price Index and a Bank of England Quarterly Bulletin. There is nothing of note from the Eurozone or USA today. 





Wednesday – Today we see the Bank of England minutes to the latest interest rate and QE decision. This could indicate future policy so will be closely watched by the markets. In the Eurozone we see Business Climate assessment from Germany, Industrial Orders from Italy, and EU wide construction output. In the States there are housing and Building numbers, and New Zealand releases its latest GDP numbers. 





Thursday – Retail Sales numbers from the UK today are a good barometer of overall economic activity. In the EU we have German inflation data, Italian Retail Sales and Trade Balance numbers. Over in the states we see GDP numbers, Inflation data, Home Sales and the latest manufacturing figures. 





 Friday – We end the week with a host of UK data: Consumer Confidence, GDP numbers, Public Sector borrowing and business investment figures. In the EU we will see German confidence and Import Prices, Italian Consumer Confidence, and a French Business Climate assessment. In the USA we have inflation data, Personal income numbers, and a consumer sentiment survey.
 





Getting the best exchange rates 





You want the best exchange rates, of course you do. That's why you're reading this blog to try and gauge your timing. Take the next step and send us a free enquiry and have a consultation on all the options available to you. 





It's free, it doesn't obligate you, and you may be surprised how much you can save by using us to get exchange rates that are up to 5% better than offered by banks. Click below to send your free enquiry now, and get a response the same day. 




 Click here to send me a free enquiry


Source | Foreign Exchange Rate Forecasts | http://foremostcurrencygroup.blogspot.com/2012/12/poundeuro-rates-continue-to-fall.html

Sunday, December 9, 2012

Pound/Euro exchange rate forecast Outlook


Monday 10th December 2012


Good morning. Sterling Euro rates hit a 5 week low last week, before staging a slight recovery on Thursday and Friday. As always for a Monday, today I will take a look at what has moved the rates in the last week, and take a view on what the forecast for Pound/Euro exchange rates moving forwards. 



In today's report:



  • Pound/Euro hits 5 week low before recovering on Friday

  • Effect of budget statement on exchange rates

  • Weakness after ECB speech pulls the rate higher again

  • Round up of the week’s other data that may affect rates






Sterling vs. Euro; 





With last week’s Autumn Statement and data releases you would have expected substantial movement on both sides of the channel, and some significant movement for the GBP/EUR cross. Unsurprisingly with the ever so unpredictable currency markets the pair remained range bound with a 1 week movement within 0.65%. This week’s report will look at what has affected the rates and why Sterling seems to have put a stop to the recent decline in rates and strengthening Euro. 







 


So what happened with rates last week?





Markets opened at €1.2331 last Monday with a raft of data from the Euro zone, UK and States; Sterling was seen as the best performer as with a Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) of 49.1 (predicted 48.0). Across the Chanel, the Euro zone scored 46.2 with Greece coming bottom of the pile at 41.8. Albeit positive news for the UK sentiment it didn’t actually affect the rates much as the GBP/EUR cross seemed to be awaiting the Autumn Statement from George Osborne on Wednesday with Interest rate and GDP figures out on Thursday. 





What effect did the Autumn statement have?





The Autumn Statement was announced Wednesday with changes in Income Tax, Tax Relief, Capital Spending and Welfare; with the most worrying aspect being that debt reduction targets were behind schedule. This lack of progress could indicate towards a future downgrade of Britain’s AAA rating which would hinder the UK’s ability to borrow at current levels reducing the value of the pound. This could also mean further Quantitative Easing for the UK, putting Sterling at risk somewhat. 





Euro weakness pushes the rate higher again





There was however some good news for the Pound/Euro rate on Thursday as President Mario Draghi said “economic weakness will persist next year”. The European Central Bank (ECB) cut its growth forecasts and the Euro weakened as the mid-market moved up 0.5% within the space of an hour; further weakness continued through Friday as the Bundesbank slashed the 2013 German Growth Forecast from 1.6% to 0.4%. The Frankfurt based central bank did say it would recover to 1.9% in 2014. 





So from the 5 week low for the GBP/EUR cross, rates could come back up due to the weakness in the Euro zone. Alternatively, we could also see further Quantitative Easing (QE) out of the UK as debt reduction targets are behind schedule, and more stimulus might be required to help and bolster growth in the UK, potentially weakening Sterling. So the tug of war between Sterling and Euro continues, with no clear consensus on which direction things will go in the coming weeks and months. 





So what does this mean if you are looking to fix a rate or make the most out of your funds? 





If you are looking to purchase Euro’s at the moment, yes the rates have come down from the August High of €1.2878, but we're still looking pretty good at the €1.24 level. If you need to buy Euros, it's important to remember that at the end of last year you would have seen the mid-market nearer to €1.13. 





A typical purchase of €200,000 would now cost you over £15,000 less! Certainly if I needed Euros, I'd be happy to trade above €1.24 and would not want to risk losing out more should the UK have it's credit rating downgraded.





If you are looking to sell Euro’s and you are wary of the problems in the Euro zone or you are in the process of signing for a property a Forward Contract is a great tool for securing your price ready for completion. 





A Forward Contract takes the volatility out of the market and means you know exactly where you stand once you have completed either selling or buying a property abroad. 





Another option for Euro sellers is a Stop Loss order. This allows you to continue taking any gains, but should the market move against you, you can place an order to trade at a certain level, limiting any potential loss should the market go against you. 





To find out how Forward contracts operate, along with all the market contracts available to you hy not send me a free enquiry now. I can provide a free consultation on all the options available to you. 









Weekly Economic Data that may affect exchange rates 





Monday – There is no UK data of note today. There is however a raft of data from the Eurozone including German Trade Balance and wholesale prices, Italian Industrial Output and GDP figures, Greek inflation data and Industrial production, in addition to an EU wide investor confidence Survey. 





Tuesday – Today we have UK House Price Balance from RICS. There is also a bond auction in the UK. In the Eurozone we have the German & EU wide ZEW survey on economic sentiment. Over in the United States we see Trade Balance numbers and wholesale inventories. Further afield, Australia has a consumer confidence survey. 





Wednesday – It’s all about unemployment in the UK today, as we will see the claimant count, unemployment levels and average earnings data. Later in the morning we have a speech by one of the BoE’s MPC members, so this could cause volatility for Sterling. In the Eurozone inflation is the order of the day, with the latest numbers from Germany and France. Over in the USA we will see Imports and Exports, an interest rate decision from the FED, the latest FOMC economic predictions and a budget statement. 





Thursday – Unusually quiet in the UK for a Thursday, with only a CBI industrial trends survey. In the Eurozone we will see inflation data for Spain and Italy, and also Greek unemployment and the ECB monthly report. There is also a European Council meeting which will discuss the debt crisis. In the states we have inflation, Retail Sales & Business inventories. 





Friday – We end the week with Services & Manufacturing PMI from Germany France and the whole EU. Over in the US we have a raft of inflation data in addition to Industrial production. There is nothing of note from the UK.
 





Getting the best exchange rates 





You want the best exchange rates, of course you do. That's why you're reading this blog to try and gauge your timing. Take the next step and send us a free enquiry and have a consultation on all the options available to you. 





It's free, it doesn't obligate you, and you may be surprised how much you can save by using us to get exchange rates that are up to 5% better than offered by banks. Click below to send your free enquiry now, and get a response the same day.







Source | Foreign Exchange Rate Forecasts | http://foremostcurrencygroup.blogspot.com/2012/12/poundeuro-exchange-rate-forecast-outlook.html

Monday, December 3, 2012

Pound/Euro exchange rate forecast December

Monday 3rd December 2012
Good morning everybody. It's a new month, and today I'll take my usual retrospective look at what happened last week, why the Pound/Euro rate fell, and what the month of December may hold in store for Exchange Rate forecasts for the best Pound/Euro exchange rates.

In this week’s Report: 

  • Pound/Euro rates fall on Bailout news 

  • New Governor for the Bank of England 

  • Round up of the week’s other data that may affect rates 


Sterling vs. Euro; 

Pound/Euro rates dropped to a 5 week low on Friday last week, as the Euro gained further strength due to the fact progress has been made with bailouts for troubled EU countries such as Greece and Spain. The main cause for the strength was the approval of Greece’s next bailout payment, which was uncertain in the early part of last week. As you can see from the chart below, rates have been in decline for some time, which will cause concern for anybody needing to purchase Euros. 



 
Why has the Euro strengthened? 

The strength came as the German parliament has approved a Eurozone bailout payment of 44bn euros (£32bn; bn) for Greece by a large majority despite unease about the cost. Before Friday's vote, Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble warned German MPs that the fate of the Eurozone was at stake in Greece, which has had two huge international bailouts in recent years. "A Greek bankruptcy could lead to the break-up of the single currency area," he said. 

Despite the fact that Greece's government had carried out reforms and passed a harsh austerity budget, the release of the next round of money was delayed for weeks by a disagreement between its lenders - the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and European Central Bank (ECB). The European Commission has set out a timetable for integration, including plans for a separate budget and joint issuance of debt. 

In the short term the commission's chief, Jose Manuel Barroso, envisages a new fund inside the EU budget to speed up structural reforms. The instrument - essentially a fund for struggling economies in the 17-nation currency bloc - would require governments to sign "contracts" similar to the strict conditions demanded for bailouts. Mr Barroso said: "We need a deep and genuine Economic and Monetary Union in order to overcome the crisis of confidence that is hurting our economies and our citizens' livelihoods." 

The news was welcomed by the markets, and the Euro gained strength as a result, causing it to become more expensive and pushing GBP/EUR rates lower. 

New BoE Governor announced, what could this mean for Sterling? 

In other news last week, the appointment of Mark Carney as the new Bank of England governor has been generally welcomed. However, with an expanded brief which includes overseeing the health of the country's banks, it will be a tough job. 

The first foreigner to be appointed Governor of the Bank of England in its 318-year history said he was “going to where the challenges are greatest”. He is currently the governor of the Bank of Canada, and will replace Sir Mervyn King next summer after the Chancellor decided against another British candidate for the role. 

Mr. Carney, 47, who had previously ruled himself out of the running for the governorship, is credited with helping to protect Canada from the global economic crisis. It is one of the few countries to have recovered fully from the financial meltdown. His appointment came as a surprise to City experts who had predicted that Paul Tucker, the deputy governor, would be promoted. 

What this means for the Pound is uncertain. Some say he is more of a ‘hawk’ than outgoing governor Mervyn King, who for some time has been talking the Pound down. However the challenges that Canada faced are very different to ours, mainly as the fact they avoided recession was due to the fact they are a commodities based currency. We will have to wait and see what his approach means, but in general the news has been welcomed by the markets. 

Summary for Pound/Euro rates 

We have seen rates fall for several weeks now, due to renewed strength in the Euro. Despite UK growth forecasts being revised up, Sterling is failing to make any gains against the Euro. Given there have been warnings the UK may head back to recession, there is every chance rates could continue to drop away, however if we get better growth figures this week, the Pound could make a recovery. 

Regardless whether you need to buy or sell Euros, contact us today to discuss the different options you have available to you. It’s free to have a consultation, and in this way you can find out how to protect against the rate moving against you, and make sure you are making the most of your currency. 

Click here to send me a free enquiry. 

Weekly Economic Data that may affect exchange rates 

Monday – It’s the start of a new month, and the first data release of note is UK House prices from the Halifax. We will also see some UK inflation data this morning. In the Eurozone we have various inflation numbers which could dictate future interest rate movements. Elsewhere we have US Construction Spending, Vehicle Sales, Inflation data and a speech from the FED. 

Tuesday – Today’s UK data comprises Retail Sales numbers and Construction figures. The EU wide inflation figures at 10am could affect GBP/EUR prices. From Canada we have an interest rate decision. 

Wednesday – We kick off with Australian GDP figures. Later in the morning we have another host of inflation numbers from the Eurozone, in addition to Retail Sales. The UK also releases some inflation figures. Over in the USA we have Mortgage applications, Employment numbers, Factory Orders and Inflation Data. 

Thursday – An important day for the UK today. At 09:30am we have Trade balance figures. Later in the morning we have the latest decision on Interest Rates and Quantitative Easing. Both of these have been key to Sterling’s weakness recently. EU data today comprises of French Unemployment numbers, EU wide GDP figures and the latest interest rate decision from the European Central Bank. There are some Jobless numbers from the USA at 13:30pm and in the evening New Zealand announces its interest rate decision. 

Friday – We end the week with UK House Prices, Industrial & Manufacturing Production and the latest inflation numbers. There is also a GDP estimate in the afternoon that could affect the value of the Pound. In the EU we will see French Trade Balance data and German Industrial Production. Stateside we have Earnings data, Unemployment, Non-Farm Payrolls and a Consumer Sentiment Survey.

 

Getting the best exchange rates 

You want the best exchange rates, of course you do. That's why you're reading this blog to try and gauge your timing. Take the next step and send us a free enquiry and have a consultation on all the options available to you. 

It's free, it doesn't obligate you, and you may be surprised how much you can save by using us to get exchange rates that are up to 5% better than offered by banks. Click below to send your free enquiry now, and get a response the same day.
 

Click here to send me a free enquiry


Source | Foreign Exchange Rate Forecasts | http://foremostcurrencygroup.blogspot.com/2012/12/poundeuro-exchange-rate-forecast.html

Monday, November 26, 2012

Pound/Euro forecast; rates could drop further


Monday 26th November 2012


Good morning. The Pound/Euro exchange rate fell quite a bit last week, and the forecast is for this to continue. This is partly due to events in Europe, but also due to the fact the Bank of England governor is speaking again this week, and could well talk the Pound down further. So what have I got for you in today's post?


 


In this week’s Report: 


  • Pound/Euro rates in decline last week

  • Bank of England speech this week could weaken Pound further 

  • EU fails to resolve Greek/EU debt issues 

  • Round up of the week’s other data that may affect rates



Sterling vs. Euro; 





Pound/Euro rates last week were largely dominated by discussions between the IMF and EU Finance Ministers, over a €44 billion Greek bailout. The single currency strengthened considerably, due to the optimism of the aforementioned plan, but was clouded mid-week by continued disagreements between the two deciding factions. As you can see by the chart below, rates have been in decline now for a few weeks. 










Reports on Monday last week outlined that an agreement was expected the following day that would allow Greece to access the bailout monies allocated from December 5th. However, following a twelve hour meeting no solution to Greece’s debt problems could be met, prompting Christine Lagarde to say that the meeting had yielded progress but the technical details could not be ironed out. 





The euro, which had been steadily strengthening due to the meeting’s publicity, retraced part of its gains as speculators were reminded that solving the region’s debt-crisis cannot be done by simply releasing bailout funds. 





What caused the Greek debt crisis?


 


The Greek crisis emanated from enormous borrowing which grew exponentially since joining the euro. Public spending soared after adopting the single currency; costs which were not offset through taxation, largely due to widespread tax evasion, making it impossible to balance the books. When the Global Financial Crisis occurred it wiped the foundations from Greece’s house of cards, and essentially made it impossible to repay their lenders due to the staggering debt-levels they had accumulated. 





The high emphasis on a Greek rescue stems from a fear of contagion. Contagion is the notion that if Greece were to default on their debts, a similar cycle of events could affect countries like Spain, Italy and Portugal. The cause is a result of the fear that these countries could follow Greece’s example and default on their obligations. 





Not only this, but the losses associated with a Greek default would significantly dampen Global liquidity; in a nutshell, when people are fearful and refuse to spend, economies become stagnant. Talks are on-going which for the GBP/EUR rate means that an agreement could see the rate drop further as the euro strengthens. However if there are more delays or compromise can be met, this could see the rate bounce back as the single currency will weaken. So things really could go both ways in the coming weeks. 





Mervyn King could talk the Pound even lower





One argument for rates dropping further, is a continuing weakness in Sterling. The Governor of the Bank of England is speaking on Thursday and is largely expected to pour cold water on Britain’s economic progress, as he did a few weeks ago. Many believe that this is an attempt to weaken the pound as a ploy to increase our competitiveness in the export market; as the EU is major trade partner. This comes despite some positive data from the UK which saw momentary retracements on the euro’s strength last week. 





How to protect against the rate dropping





If the euro is your currency of interest, send me a free enquiry and I can get in touch to discuss your options. If the Market appears to be moving against you, Forward Contracts and Stop Orders are great ways of protecting yourself from adverse Market movements. If the rates are going in your favour, Limit Orders allow you to set an optimistic level in the Market which can be automatically purchased, 24 hours a day, seven days a week. 









Weekly Economic Data that may affect exchange rates 





Monday – The main data that could affect GBP/EUR rates today is from Germany. We have a host of data from Europe’s largest economy, including Retail Sales, Import Prices and a Consumer Confidence Survey. Staying in Europe, we also have the EcoFin meeting, which covers areas such as coordinated economic measures, budgetary policies, public finances, capital movements and financial markets. Elsewhere we have Trade Balance figures from New Zealand, and manufacturing data from the USA. 





Tuesday – An important day for the Pound, as we will have GDP figures, House Prices and Business Investment measures. There is nothing major from Europe, but across the pond we’ll see US House Prices, Consumer Confidence, and Speeches by various members of the Federal Reserve. 





Wednesday – Nothing from the UK today. We do have some German inflation figures along with Spanish Retail Sales. IN the USA we will see some further Home Sales data, which is a good barometer of overall economic health. 





Thursday – A fairly busy day today. Starting in the UK we have Consumer Credit, Mortgage Approvals, and a Speech by the Bank of England governor Mervyn King. Be very mindful of this, as last time he spoke he talked the Pound down by a significant amount. It’s followed by a UK Financial Stability report. In Europe we will see Consumer Confidence, Economic Confidence, Industrial confidence along with German unemployment numbers. In the states we have Jobless Claims, Homes Sales and manufacturing numbers. 





Friday – The only UK data of note is consumer confidence and an inflation report. In the Eurozone we have Inflation numbers, unemployment numbers and Retail Sales. We end the week in the Americas with inflation numbers from the USA and GDP figures from Canada.
 





Getting the best exchange rates 





You want the best exchange rates, of course you do. That's why you're reading this blog to try and gauge your timing. Take the next step and send us a free enquiry and have a consultation on all the options available to you. 





It's free, it doesn't obligate you, and you may be surprised how much you can save by using us to get exchange rates that are up to 5% better than offered by banks. Click below to send your free enquiry now, and get a response the same day. 







Source | Foreign Exchange Rate Forecasts | http://foremostcurrencygroup.blogspot.com/2012/11/poundeuro-forecast-rates-could-drop.html

Wednesday, November 21, 2012

Pound/Euro rates falling. December forecast


Wednesday 21st November 2012 


Good morning. In today’s post I’m going to look at the developments so far this week that have affected exchange rates, including the Bank of England minutes, UK public sector borrowing, The latest on the Greek bailout, and the downgrading of Frances Credit rating. Of course I will also take a view on how this could affect exchange rates in the coming weeks and months. Let’s start in the UK. 





Bank of England minutes 






This morning the Bank of England released the minutes from the latest decision to hold off any more Quantitative Easing (QE) and leave interest rates on hold.





There were no real surprises; only one member voted for QE, so the vote was split 8-1. 







This indicates there is less chance of further stimulus in December, however many think it’s only a matter of time before more funds are needed, so I think depending on economic figures, we could see further QE in January. If so, then expect the Pound to weaken if it starts to look more likely stimulus will be needed. The decision to leave interest rates at 0.5% was unanimous. 






Public Sector borrowing increases 






The Pound hasn’t fared very well this morning though, falling half a point so far from the open this morning. One reason is the news that the government borrowed much more than expected in October, reducing the chances that the UK will hit its deficit reduction target in 2012-13. 







UK public sector net borrowing hit £8.6bn in October, which is a blow to the government as they were hoping that the deficit would fall by around 5%. At the moment this is moving in the wrong direction, and this is causing the Pound to lose out to other currencies, pulling exchange rates down. 






No Greek deal – what does this mean for Euro? 






Over in the Eurozone, the main concern continues to be Greece. They have failed to reach a deal to give Greece its latest bailout payment, and this threatens the whole bloc, leaders have said. Following nearly 12 hours of talks in Brussels, the Eurogroup said it needed more time for technical work. Greece needs the next tranche of its second bailout worth 130bn euros (6bn; £104bn) to avoid insolvency. 






The Eurozone "would be threatened if we did not reach" a deal, French Finance Minister Pierre Moscovici said, before adding that "we are very close to a deal." The news initially caused some weakness in the Euro, pushing exchange rates up slightly. 





These gains were short lived however, and rates have already dropped below the level we have been sat at for most of the week. The reason that a weak Euro is not really pushing up GBP/EUR rates is the fact that problems in the EU have a knock on effect on the UK, so even if more problems arise, don’t expect Pound/Euro rates to shoot up. 





French credit rating downgraded 





In a further blow to the EU, Moody's downgraded France's debt from Aaa to Aa1, and kept its negative outlook, meaning it could be cut again. Moody's blamed stalled economic growth, the risk of a Greek euro exit and the risk that France has to contribute to bailing out other Eurozone countries. This leaves only Germany and the UK with AAA credit ratings from all agencies, reflecting the health of the 2 large economies. 





So what does all this mean for exchange rates? 






Surprisingly it hasn’t really affected rates that much. Pound/Euro rates have been range-bound around the 1.24 to 1.2450 level for a while now, and the markets are not reacting too much to the latest news. The main driver continues to be investor confidence, and at the moment the UK is not performing too badly. 







What is a concern is the Bank of England’s determination to weaken the Pound to try to help our exports. Also, problems in the EU will affect the Pound, as I’ve already talked about in detail over the last week or two. 






If you need to buy Euros, consider a Forward contract 





I think it’s unlikely we will see any gains in the GBP/EUR rate any time soon, so if you need to buy Euros then consider a Forward contract. This is where you can fix today’s rates for up to 2 years, and only pay 10% of the Sterling now. The remainder would be due when you want to take delivery of your currency. 





In this way you can protect against adverse exchange rate movements and budget effectively for any purchase either soon or in the future.

Click here to send me a free enquiry now, and find out more about our commercial exchange rates.  





Getting the best exchange rates 






You want the best exchange rates, of course you do. That's why you're reading this blog to try and gauge your timing. Take the next step and send us a free enquiry and have a consultation on all the options available to you. 






It's free, it doesn't obligate you, and you may be surprised how much you can save by using us to get exchange rates that are up to 5% better than offered by banks. Click below to send your free enquiry now, and get a response the same day.  






Source | Foreign Exchange Rate Forecasts | http://foremostcurrencygroup.blogspot.com/2012/11/poundeuro-rates-falling-december.html

Tuesday, November 20, 2012

Pound/Euro forecast August/September 2012

Monday 20th August 2012
Good morning. So as usual for Monday mornings, here's my outline of what has been happening to the Pound/Euro rate in the last week, with a full analysis of what is causing the movements. In addition I will look at where rates may head in the coming weeks, and also list a run down of the weeks economic data that could affect rates.

In this week’s Report:
  • Pound climbs to 2 week high against US Dollar
  • Events in Eurozone continue to drive rates
  • Thin trade in holiday season creating peaks and troughs
  • Round up of the week’s other data that may affect rates
(For currencies other than GBP, EUR and USD, contact us for a consultation)

Sterling vs. Euro;

After the excitement of the previous week and the comments made by Mario Draghi’ s and Mervin King - last week failed to produce any real excitement. The Pound broadly maintained its strength against the single currency, trading in a very narrow range throughout the duration of the week despite a number of important data releases made on both sides of the channel.













On Tuesday Sterling gained marginally over the Euro as UK inflation surprisingly rose for the month of July, whilst at the same time figures released showed that the Eurozone economy shrank in the second quarter of 2012. Although positive news for the UK economy the market didn’t react too much as the general view was that the Bank of England’s stance on monetary policy is unlikely to change any time soon, and therefore the results to a certain extent remain irrelevant for now.

The week continued in a similar fashion as the market showed indifference when, as expected on Wednesday, the Bank of England produced the minutes from the Interest rate setting meeting from the beginning of the month. This reported a 9-0 vote to keep interest rates on hold and no further Quantitative easing.

As surmised in previous reports, with UK rates firmly on hold and further QE off the table in the near term, Sterling is unlikely to play a dominant part in driving the cross for the time being. The focus is firmly set on the performance of the Eurozone. This was evident on Friday when the Pound began to lose some ground against the Euro following comments from the ECB and Angela Merkel of decisive action expected to reduce the borrowing costs for Spain and Italy.


So if the ECB take action could this lower GBP/EUR rates?


Any action by the ECB early next month to lower borrowing costs for Spain and Italy could well give the euro a lift against the Pound. But equally, now that they have outlaid an expectation, any lack of any bold action especially at a time when worries about Greece are resurfacing could send the euro lower across the board.

The status quo is likely to remain for the time being as markets remain quiet in part due to the holiday season. However there also seems to be somewhat of an undercurrent of disquiet as the problem in the Eurozone seems once again to be coming to the surface.

On the face of things the key members of the Eurozone are all singing from the same hymn sheet and claiming that they will do ‘whatever it takes for the euro to survive’ and thus far have managed to keep the markets subdued. However, cracks in the armour seem to be getting larger after Finland’s outspoken Foreign Minister last week claimed that the country was preparing for a ‘full blown currency crisis’ and the possibility of the Euro breaking up.

So it certainly looks like the EU debt crisis will continue to drive the Pound/Euro rate for the short to medium term. In uncertain times such as these, it's important to know your options and not just hope rates will go in your direction. Make sure you make the most of your currency, and use all the tools at your disposal to ensure that you maximise your position within the currency markets.

Contact me now for a free consultation.

Weekly Economic Data that may affect exchange rates

Below we list the main economic data releases of the week. It should be noted that as August is the holiday season in much of the world and Europe in particular, we are very quiet indeed on the data front. This does not necessarily mean there won’t be movements in rates however. Often when trade is thin in quiet periods we see larger swings in exchange rates than usual so if you have an imminent exchange to make, contact us today to have a free consultation.

Monday – There is little data of note today. The only scheduled releases are Construction data from Europe and a report from the FED in the states about Economic Activity.

Tuesday – On the whole another very quiet day for data. The UK releases its latest Public Sector Borrowing data at 09:30am. In New Zealand we see the latest inflation report from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand. Australia publishes its most recent Bank minutes. In the USA the FED gives a speech.

Wednesday –The only thing to watch out for is the FOMC minutes from the states that might affect GBP/USD rates.

Thursday – The markets have been saving all the data for today. UK: Mortgage Approvals & a CBI Trades Survey. EU: German GDP, German Imports & Exports, German, French & EU wide Inflation Data, EU wide investor confidence. US: Housing Prices, Homes Sales. New Zealand: Imports Exports & Trade Balance.

Friday – A little busier today with GDP figures from the UK in addition to a measure of business investment. In Europe the Greek and French leaders meet, which could mean an announcement about the Greek bailout. Over in the States we have durable goods orders.

Getting the best exchange rates


You want the best exchange rates, of course you do. That's why you're reading this blog to try and gauge your timing. Take the next step and send us a free enquiry and have a consultation on all the options available to you.

It's free, it doesn't obligate you, and you may be surprised how much you can save by using us to get exchange rates that are up to 5% better than offered by banks. Click below to send your free enquiry now, and get a response the same day.

Click here to send me a free enquiry


Source | Foreign Exchange Rate Forecasts | http://foremostcurrencygroup.blogspot.com/2012/08/poundeuro-forecast-augustseptember-2012.html

Why have Pound/Euro rates fallen?

Wednesday 22nd August 2012
Good morning. Today I’ll give a brief mid-week update on what is happening with exchange rates. We had seen the GBP/EUR rate recover back close to 4 year highs; however rates have been in decline this week. Today I’ll look at what has caused this, and which way rates may move in the coming weeks.

Why have Pound/Euro rates fallen?















Yesterday we saw GBP/EUR rates fall back into the mid €1.26’s. There were 2 reasons for this; firstly the UK deficit grew more than expected, which I’ll examine separately in a moment. The main reason for the fall was a strengthening of the Euro, caused by growing expectations the European Central Bank will take action to ease Spanish and Italian borrowing costs.

The anticipation of measures being taken in the coming weeks, to try and resolve the on-going debt crisis has been welcomed by investors. As a result, it’s spurred investment into the single currency, and this demand has caused strength, making it more expensive to purchase.

Talk of ECB intervention in debt markets resurfaced after a weekend report in Germany's Spiegel magazine that the central bank would target specific yield levels as part of any bond-buying programme. Reports At the beginning of the week said that the ECB played down that speculation; however there were reports that confirmed ECB experts were examining plans to cap Spanish and Italian yields.

"The focus is very much on the ECB's pledge of intervention, in combination with the EFSF," said Deutsche Bank economist Mark Wall, referring to the Eurozone rescue fund. The ECB is expected to detail its plans for addressing the Eurozone’s debt crisis in September.

If they do go ahead and we hear more concrete talk of this becoming a reality, expect the Euro to remain relatively strong. Don’t’ underestimate the Eurozone’s willingness to resolve the crisis. See below for my thoughts on what to do if you need to buy Euros.

UK Deficit Increases


As mentioned above, the Pound also weakened slightly when data showing Britain's public finances unexpectedly veered further off-track in July and a survey revealing a slump in factory orders this month as demand for consumer goods dropped.

Four months into the financial year the government has borrowed £44.9bn, £9.3bn higher than the same period in 2011. The OBR had predicted that borrowing on the same measure would be £120bn for the whole of the financial year, down from the £125bn borrowed last year.

This has reinforced the fact that the Pound is very weak – we’re in recession (still!), there is no growth, and unemployment while better than it has been, is still high. This is keeping Sterling weak relative to other currencies.

Pound/Dollar at 3 month high















Despite the Pound weakening and falling against the Euro, Sterling rose to a 3 month high against the US Dollar. Really this is again due to the news from the EU – as the Euro gained strength, the Dollar weakened as investors that had been holding them due to their safe haven status, moved back to riskier currencies.

This weakened off the Dollar, pushing rates up despite the Pound getting weaker.

So what is the forecast for GBP/EUR rates for the rest of the year?

Many people still seem to think that rates will get to €1.30, but when questioned they can give no logical reason why. They have just seen it get close, and think that therefore it must get there. The highest the rate has been in the last 4 years was 1.2860 over a month ago, and since then we have seen rates in decline.

The Pound is at record lows against most currencies. The only reason rates are still quite good against the Euro is due to the debt crisis. Now that investors are more confident of a solution, the Euro has been slowly regaining some of its value, and that’s why rates have been falling.

If you need to buy Euros, then consider the fact the rate is still within a few points of a 4 year high, which is not too bad at all considering rates were 10% lower at the end of last year. Don’t end up holding out for an inch only to lose a yard.

If you need to buy or sell Euros, then contact me now to discuss the options you have available to get the best possible rates and make the most of your currency.

Getting the best exchange rates

You want the best exchange rates, of course you do. That's why you're reading this blog to try and gauge your timing. Take the next step and send us a free enquiry and have a consultation on all the options available to you.

It's free, it doesn't obligate you, and you may be surprised how much you can save by using us to get exchange rates that are up to 5% better than offered by banks. Click below to send your free enquiry now, and get a response the same day.

Click here to send me a free enquiry





Source | Foreign Exchange Rate Forecasts | http://foremostcurrencygroup.blogspot.com/2012/08/why-have-poundeuro-rates-fallen.html

Pound/Euro exchange rate forecast

Tuesday 28th August 2012
Good morning. Today I'll take my usual retrospective view on what caused the Pound/Euro rates to drop away, and the events in the coming weeks that will dictate the direction of exchange rates and the Pound Sterling forecast in the coming months.

In this week’s Report:
  • Pound/Euro rates decline as ECB poised to take action
  • UK Economy didn’t shrink as much as thought
  • Pound/Dollar rates hit 3 month high on QE threat
  • Round up of the week’s other data that may affect rates
Sterling vs. Euro;

Last week we saw the single currency strengthen significantly, causing the pound euro rate to drop away. Trading opened Monday morning around the 1.2760 mark and steadily dropped throughout the week closing on Friday afternoon around 1.2630 as the graph below shows. In this week’s report we will look at the causes as to why the Euro has reached a two week high against Sterling, and what the coming weeks and months may have in store for the GBP/EUR rate.













Last week’s trading opened with sterling holding firm in the mid 1.27’s, relatively close to the best rates in 4 years. As is often the case though, spikes such as this are usually short lived. The great exchange rates didn’t last long, as expectation grew within the markets that the ECB will take action to ease Spanish and Italian borrowing costs.

The renewed expectations of some progress on the debt crisis saw investors pre-empting the ECB’s next move, and resulted in investors moving their funds from the safe haven of the Greenback and back into the single currency, giving it strength and pulling the exchange rate down. The possibility of ECB action came in tandem with the news that public net borrowing in the UK has increased unexpectedly, in a time where the UK government is continuing to make cuts, weakening the Pound.

It's not all bad news!

There was some good news for the UK however on Friday, when figures showed that the UK economy shrank by less than previously thought between April and June. Revised data from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) show the economy contracted by 0.5% during the quarter, less than the 0.7% it announced last month. It didn’t have much of an effect on rates however, as many economists had expected the figures to show a smaller contraction and so for the most part, this was already priced in to rates, and was overshadowed by events in the Eurozone.

So what next for the Euro?

After a summer lull, the euro zone faces two months that will go a long way to dictate whether its debt crisis, now into a third year, will spiral out of control or finally be contained. The ECB appear to have temporarily stopped the rot and are now looking towards fast effective austerity measures.

In the next few weeks, we will see ECB inspectors travel to Athens to assess its debt cutting targets. There is also an ECB meeting where Mario Draghi will try to garner support for the Central Banks plan to bail out struggling economies, the ECOFIN meeting in Cyprus will see EU finance ministers thrash out plans to help Spain and Italy, and Spain will conduct an audit of its banks to see how much of the available bailout funds it will need. So, the future of the GBP/EUR rate hinges on what results from the above events.

What you can do if you need to buy or sell Euros.

With so much uncertainty over what will happen in the EU, the exchange rate could move significantly in either direction in the coming weeks. Due to this, many clients are choosing to remove any risk from the market and lock into a Forward Contract. This enables you to fix today’s exchange rates for up to 2 years into the future, allowing you to budget effectively, protecting against adverse exchange rate movements, and most of all give you peace of mind in a volatile and confusing market.

To discuss this and other options available to you, contact me now.

Weekly Economic Data that may affect exchange rates

Monday – UK Markets were closed for Bank Holiday, but there were some numbers from Germany showing Import Prices and Business Climate expectations. In a quiet market the figures had little effect on exchange rates.

Tuesday – UK Markets reopen but there are no data releases of note. In the Eurozone we will see German Retail Sales and Consumer Confidence, in Spain the latest GDP numbers are released. In the United States we will see Consumer Confidence and a Manufacturing Survey.

Wednesday – Relatively busy today. In the Eurozone we’ll see German Inflation Data, Italian Retail Sales and Consumer Confidence, Greek Inflation numbers and French Business Climate assessment. In the USA the Fed’s Beige Book looks at the current economic satiation, in addition to GDP numbers released at 13:30pm.

Thursday – In the UK today we have Mortgage Approvals, measures of Consumer Credit and Consumer confidence numbers. In the Eurozone we see German Employment figures, Consumer Confidence numbers from Spain and the whole EU, and EU wide measures of Consumer Confidence, Industrial Confidence and Economic sentiment. Stateside sees Jobless Claims.

Friday – A quiet end to the week. Spanish and Greek Retail Sales, Italian Unemployment and inflation numbers, EU Consumer Price Index. In the USA we have a Speech by the FED chairman and a measure of consumer sentiment.

Getting the best exchange rates

You want the best exchange rates, of course you do. That's why you're reading this blog to try and gauge your timing. Take the next step and send us a free enquiry and have a consultation on all the options available to you.

It's free, it doesn't obligate you, and you may be surprised how much you can save by using us to get exchange rates that are up to 5% better than offered by banks. Click below to send your free enquiry now, and get a response the same day.

Click here to send me a free enquiry


Source | Foreign Exchange Rate Forecasts | http://foremostcurrencygroup.blogspot.com/2012/08/poundeuro-exchange-rate-forecast.html

Monday, November 19, 2012

Pound/Euro exchange rate forecast for September 2012

Monday 10th September 2012
Good morning everybody. I'm back from sunny Kos in Greece, so let's get cracking and see what's been happening with exchange rates. In a nutshell, the Euro has been gaining strength and as a result Sterling/Euro exchange rates have fallen further from their recent highs. Today I'll take a look at what's been happening in Europe, why the Pound/Euro rate has fallen, and what the coming weeks may hold. If you need to buy or sell Euros at the best exchange rate, read on....

In this week’s Report:
  • Euro gains strength pulling GBP/EUR rates down
  • Is a solution to the debt crisis imminent?
  • Pound/Dollar rates climb steadily to .60
  • Round up of the week’s other data that may affect rates
Sterling vs. Euro;

Speculators waited in anticipation last week as a relatively stable few days led up to Mario Draghi’s long awaited ECB press conference. Today I will consider the major announcements from both the UK and Euro-zone that drove the sterling-euro cross price since I've been away.

Link
Last week began with a UK Manufacturing data report that was greater than predicted; lifting the pound as speculators concluded that the announcement would reduce the chance of more Bank of England stimulus. Sterling gains were offset, however, as on that day Angela Merkel stood before Bavarian beer drinkers to announce her support for a unified euro.

The inference of her speech appeared to be that the hard line taken with troubled Euro-nations, such as Greece, was ultimately to bring about an end to the crisis, rather than to simply protect German interests. The markets took the signal as an affirmation that a plan was on its way and this, coupled with a buoyed sterling, kept the markets relatively constant around the €1.26 level.













Just as the steam from Chancellor Merkel’s comments began to wane, and European stocks slipped again, Mario Draghi set the cat amongst the pigeons when he explained to lawmakers that if the ECB were to purchase two to three year sovereign debt from troubled nations, this was not tantamount to outright quantitative easing; a breach of their mandate.

All eyes fell on Draghi and Thursday’s announcement; the euro had tentatively held its ground, never quite weakening back to the four year high levels, but not quite strong enough to warrant the sterling-euro cross to fall below the 1.26 mark. Speculators were divided as to the fate of the euro; the broad strokes of the ECB plan were relatively well known by this point, what was not, were the details. Draghi could announce an insubstantial plan, such as capped bond purchases, that would disillusion markets in a similar vein to his prior press conference. A stronger message however, would settle investors, buoy the euro and reduce the dreaded bond yields of nations such as Spain.

Although the ECB President delivered with respect to content, Draghi’s speech was perhaps not the vitriolic call to arms many expected, or hoped, it would be. The markets did respond, albeit eventually, as an initial weakening of the Euro during the speech ultimately saw the single currency close in on two-month highs against the US dollar stealing momentum from the yen.

Friday delivered weaker than forecast Non-Farm payroll data from the US which will have driven speculators from the dollar to the euro as the ECB’s recent actions, and the risk of Fed stimulus, has seen more traders drop their risk-adverse positions on Europe. The news also caused GBP/USD rates to rise above the .60 level for the first time in quite a while.

With the euro increasingly gaining on its counterparts we have seen the Pound/Euro rate start to drop further away from the recent highs, on Friday falling over a point down towards €1.25. As such it has never been a better time to consider your currency options if you need to buy or sell Euros. We have a range of contracts to cater to many Forex requirements. Whether you are buying or selling Euros, we can provide you will all the information to help you make an informed decision and make the very most of your currency.

Make the first step now, click here to make a free enquiry.

Weekly Economic Data that may affect exchange rates

Monday – Today is all about the EU. We have various releases including Italian GDP data, Greek Inflation numbers, EU investor confidence, French Industrial Output and Portuguese Trade Balance. Elsewhere there are some House Price figures for the UK, and GDP figures for New Zealand.

Tuesday – Today we have some Trade Balance figures from the UK showing imports and exports. A little quieter in the Eurozone with German wholesale prices the only data of note. In the USA we have Trade Balance figures.

Wednesday – An important day for GBP/EUR. Starting at home we have a host of earnings and unemployment data at 09:30am. In the Eurozone we have Inflation data from Germany, Spain and France. There are also some industrial production figures for the EU. Over in the USA there are several Import and Export numbers being released at 13:30pm.

Thursday – The only UK data of note is the BoE Quarterly Bulletin. It’s relatively quiet in Europe also with only Greek unemployment and Italian inflation data. Most figures today are from the USA: Jobless Claims, Interest Rate decision, FOMC minutes & a monthly budget statement.

Friday – The G20 meeting starts today, which is a gathering of finance ministers and central bank governors and thus could add a new dimension to the currency markets. Scheduled releases today include EU inflation and unemployment numbers, US inflation and Retail Sales figures.

Getting the best exchange rates


You want the best exchange rates, of course you do. That's why you're reading this blog to try and gauge your timing. Take the next step and send us a free enquiry and have a consultation on all the options available to you.

It's free, it doesn't obligate you, and you may be surprised how much you can save by using us to get exchange rates that are up to 5% better than offered by banks. Click below to send your free enquiry now, and get a response the same day.

Click here to send me a free enquiry


Source | Foreign Exchange Rate Forecasts | http://foremostcurrencygroup.blogspot.com/2012/09/poundeuro-exchange-rate-forecast-for.html

Pound/Euro declines due to US QE - Full Market Report

Good morning everybody. Last week was a very volatile one that saw a big drop in the GBP/EUR rate, but in contrast the GBP/USD rate rose to a 5 month high. Today I'll take a detailed looks as to why this happened, and what it means going forwards.

In this week’s Report:
  • Pound/Euro rates in dramatic decline
  • US QE announcement main cause of volatility
  • Pound/Dollar soars to 5 month high as dollar weakens
  • Round up of the week’s other data that may affect rates
Sterling vs. Euro;

Last week the Pound continued its downward trend against the Euro, sliding away from the 4 year high of 1.2865 we saw at the end of July back down to the mid 1.23s. The main reason for the drop in the rates was actually due to news from the US after the Fed said it would pump billion into the economy each month until it saw signs of improvement in its struggling jobs market (which will be discussed in further detail in the dollar report) and growing confidence in the euro zone rather than any data from the UK.













The confidence in the single currency mainly came from the news that the German Constitutional Court gave the go ahead for the regions new rescue fund and the European Central Bank laying down bold plans to lower the borrowing costs for struggling countries. This gives investors greater confidence that the euro zone will be able to withstand continued financial storms as they pulled money out of the dollar and back into the riskier single currency.

This week, the most important mover of the GBP/EUR cross is likely to come of the back of continued discussions with the ECB around Spanish, Italian bailouts as well as minutes from the Bank of England MPC meeting released mid-week. The minutes will give a full account of policy discussions including any conflicts of opinions. They will also show which way the individual committee members voted. This will give a good indication of whether the BoE has a dovish or hawkish stance on the outlook of the UK economy. Any indication of a positive outlook or talks of an increase in interest rates would be very beneficial to the pound and would push the sterling/Euro rates up.


What does this mean if I need to buy Euros?


With such a dramatic fall in Sterling/Euro exchange rates in recent times, anyone looking to buy Euros in the near future would be wise to consider locking in today’s rates with the use of a forward contract to protect themselves against any further falls in the market. On the other hand, anyone looking to sell Euros can take advantage of any spikes with stops and limits contracts allowing you to target rates not yet available in the market. To discuss these type of contracts, send me a free enquiry now.

With a property purchase of €200,000 costing you just over £6000 more than it would have done a couple of months ago, it outlines the importance of getting the right information to make an informed choice of what to do.

Sterling vs. US Dollar;

In this section I will have a look at what events have dominated the GBP/USD cross and how they have affected the markets. Last week the single focus of cable was the run up to the Federal Reserve interest rate and Quantitative Easing meeting on Thursday.













Even as early as Monday the market was pricing in some sort of stimulus intervention as Cable reached a 4 month high. The trend of sterling strength against the dollar was maintained on Tuesday as markets continued to price in movement coupled with a threat by ‘Moody’s Investors Service’ that the US was in danger of losing its triple A debt rating, if next year’s budget talks do not result in lower debt to GBP ratio.

When the results finally came in late Thursday UK time the conclusion certainly didn’t disappoint those expecting some action. Ben Benanke backed the purchase of Billion of mortgage backed securities every single month until US growth as well as the US job market improves. In addition Fed Chairman Benanke added to his commitment to get the US economy moving through spending by confirming that interest rates in the US would remain low and wouldn’t be raised until 2015 at the earliest.

This is probably the most decisive action that the market has seen from the US to deal with the financial crisis since its inception. At the very least it sends a clear signal to the rest of the world that the US are prepared to do everything necessary, including trying new strategies to navigate their way out of recession and into competitive growth.

Dollar weakens significantly after announcement

Naturally following this announcement cable continued its upward trajectory as equities and perceived riskier currencies (including Sterling) made gains against the Greenback. With the Fed Chairman indicating that he would be prepared to pump Billion into the economy every month until it has an effect, the market has the potential to continue the current trend of Dollar weakness. Essentially Mr Bernanke has embarked on an endless amount of quantitative easing and so it will be interesting to see how far the markets move off the back of this uncertainty.

Whilst this is undoubtedly a great time for dollar purchasers to be taking advantage of the recent gains, it would be wise to approach the market with some trepidation as the FX markets are notoriously volatile. Despite a clear shift in fundamentals there is no absolute guarantee that the technical levels will follow suit, and indeed there have been countless occasions throughout history where a sharp market movement has been followed by an equally sharp market retraction.

Ensure that you take advantage of a free consultation and explore the possibilities of both Stop Loss orders and Limit orders so that you are able to take advantage of any market gain, whilst at the same time protecting yourself should the market move against you.

Weekly Economic Data that may affect exchange rates

Monday – The main data today is Trade Balance data from the Eurozone, showing imports and exports. Elsewhere we have UK House Prices. There are no significant releases from the USA today.

Tuesday – Some important UK data today including Inflation data, House Prices and Retail Sales, all of which are a barometer of overall economic health. In the Eurozone we have Economic sentiment surveys from Germany and the EU. In the USA we have a speech from the Federal Reserve, and some Housing data.

Wednesday
– The Bank of England release their minutes today, which often causes volatility for Sterling. In the Eurozone we see the latest construction data output. In the USA there are Homes Sales data and another speech from the FED. Over in New Zealand we see the latest GDP figures at 11:45pm.

Thursday
– UK Retail Sales are released today, showing full monthly and annual comparisons. On the Eurozone we have inflation data from Germany, Manufacturing data from Italy, German and France. We also see measures of EU Consumer confidence. Over in the USA we see the latest Jobless Claims, Manufacturing data, and yet another speech from the FED.

Friday – We end the week on a quiet note, with the only UK data of note Public Sector borrowing. There is nothing of note from the EU today. Over in the United States we have, you guessed it, another speech from the FED.
Getting the best exchange rates

You want the best exchange rates, of course you do. That's why you're reading this blog to try and gauge your timing. Take the next step and send us a free enquiry and have a consultation on all the options available to you.

It's free, it doesn't obligate you, and you may be surprised how much you can save by using us to get exchange rates that are up to 5% better than offered by banks. Click below to send your free enquiry now, and get a response the same day.

Click here to send me a free enquiry


Source | Foreign Exchange Rate Forecasts | http://foremostcurrencygroup.blogspot.com/2012/09/poundeuro-declines-due-to-us-qe-full.html