Forex Trading - Good Money Management Alone Is Not Enough

Forex is an abbreviated name for foreign exchange. The Forex trading market is an around-the-clock cash market where the currencies of nations are bought and sold, typically via brokers. For many years, the Forex market was dominated by large institutions such as banks and brokerage firms. However, the Forex market has experienced a major change over the past several years, as a growing number of private investors and traders just like you have started to actively participate and trade. The purpose of this article is to reveal Forex trading strategies that withstand the test of time.

Have An Open Mind: According to Mark Twain, It's not what we don't know that hurts us; it's what we know for sure that just ain't so.

Good Money Management Alone Is Not Enough: According to Monroe Trout, Good Money Management alone isn't going to increase your edge at all. If your system isn't any good, you're still going to lose money, no matter how effective your money management rules are. But if you have an approach that makes money, then money management can make the difference between success and failure.

Do Not Play Catch Up: According to Richard Dennis, I learned to avoid trying to catch up or double up to recoup losses. I also learned that a certain amount of loss will affect your judgment, so you have to put some time between that loss and the next trade.

Trading System: According to Howard Abell, The trading system gives the trader the ability to control his or her emotional states rather than allowing them to control him. A system is a disciplined method for organizing dynamic, ever-changing market phenomena.

Trade Small: According to Mark Ritchie, I think it's generally a good idea that when you put on a trade, it should be so small that it seems almost a waste of your time. Always trade at a level that seems too small.

Be Greedy When Others Are Fearful: According to Warren Buffet, Be greedy when others are fearful.

Courage: According to Bill Lipschutz, It is not enough to simply have the insight to see something apart from the rest of the crowd, you also need to have the courage to act on it and to stay with it. It's very difficult to be different from the rest of the crowd the majority of the time, which by definition is what you are doing if you are a successful trader.

Limit Your Losses: According to Linda Bradford Raschke, The market will decide how much profit to give you. Only you can decide how much to limit your loss.

Good Trades: According to Van K. Tharp, Good Trades Seldom go too far against us.

Always Changing: According to Jack D. Schwager, The markets are always changing, and they are always the same.

The Strategy: According to Sun-Tzu, All men can see those tactics whereby I conquer, but what none can see is the strategy out of which victory is evolved.

Sit On Your Hands: According to Bill Lipschutz, If most traders would learn to sit on their hands 50 per cent of the time, they would make a lot more money.

Psychological Makeup: According to Leo Melamed, You learn to distinguish the good traders from the bad, the successful techniques from the unsuccessful, and the good habits from the faulty. You also learn to distinguish the lover from the fighter, the winners from the losers, the serious from the frivolous, the cerebral from the superficial, and the friend from the foe. But above all, you learn that the psychological makeup of the trader is the single most critical element of success.

Trading Forex on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to invest in foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite.

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Source | All The Best: Online Forex Articles | http://best-online-forex-articles.blogspot.com/2008/10/forex-trading-good-money-management.html

Pound at 4 month low vs Euro despite good UK data

Wednesday 17th October 2012
Good afternoon. It has been an interesting day for exchange rates, as we saw some much better UK data which helped lift Sterling against many currencies, however against the Euro we saw rates fall to a 4 month low due to a stronger Euro. This afternoon I’ll take a quick look at the data that has been released and the effect it has had on exchange rates.

Better UK Data lifts Sterling, but not against the Euro

The Pound made some gains this morning after some surprisingly good data was released. Firstly we had the latest jobless data. Unemployment fell by 50,000 to 2.53m in the three months to August, taking the jobless rate down to 7.9% from 8.1%.

A combination of more jobs being created and more people entering the workforce pushed the absolute number of people in employment to 29.6 million, the highest since these records began in 1971. The percentage of people in work rose to 71.3%, the best rate since April 2009. 

This was welcome news for the UK economy and surprised most analysts. The better outlook for employment in the UK raised the possibility that the economy may have staged a reasonable recovery in the third quarter after three consecutive quarters of contraction. The first estimate of third quarter gross domestic product is due next week and that will help us understand more.

The news gave Sterling a boost against most currencies, including the US Dollar that recovered back close to the .62 mark.

Despite the good data, Pound/Euro rates falls to 4 month low. 

Sterling fell to a 4 month low against the euro this morning after Moody's affirmed Spain's credit rating yesterday evening. The fact that they will keep their credit rating gave the Euro a boost, and coupled with the optimism surrounding the single currency after months of doubt, we saw the Euro gain significant strength.

This caused the GBP/EUR rate to fall, and despite the better UK jobs data, there was no significant recovery and the mid-market rate remains just above €1.23.

Bank of England minutes 

The latest BoE minutes were also released this morning. These showed policymakers were split on the need to buy more British government debt under their quantitative easing programme. Most economists had been expecting the central bank to opt for more QE in November.
Although they voted 9-0 earlier this month for no more QE, the fact that the actual policy discussion showed that there is indecision amongst the MPC members means it’s not now clear if and when more QE will be announced.

It was widely expected more would follow in November, but now this is not as clear cut. With better jobs data, the market will await the GDP figures to determine the likelihood of more QE.
If they do opt for more stimulus, Sterling could come under pressure as it is usually negative for the pound as it increases the supply of the currency.


 

Getting the best exchange rates

You want the best exchange rates, of course you do. That's why you're reading this blog to try and gauge your timing. Take the next step and send us a free enquiry and have a consultation on all the options available to you.

It's free, it doesn't obligate you, and you may be surprised how much you can save by using us to get exchange rates that are up to 5% better than offered by banks. Click below to send your free enquiry now, and get a response the same day.

 Click here to send me a free enquiry

Source | Foreign Exchange Rate Forecasts | http://foremostcurrencygroup.blogspot.com/2012/10/pound-at-4-month-low-vs-euro-despite.html

Pound/Euro rates climb after good GDP data

Monday 29th October 2012
Good morning. The Pound/Euro rates climbed nicely last week when UK GDP figures confirmed we are out of recession. Today I'll have a look back at the events of last week, look at what might happen with exchange rates going forwards, and as usual round up the weekly economic data that could affect exchange rates in the short term.

In this week’s Report: 

•  Pound/Euro rates hit 3-week high 


• UK finally out of recession – GDP grows 1% 


• A volatile week for the Pound/Dollar cross 


• Round up of the week’s other data that may affect rates 

Sterling vs. Euro; 

The pound surged last week on the back of a hugely better than expected GDP swing of 1.6% quarter on quarter, showing an initial estimate of a full 1% growth in the UK for Q3 2012. Though this figure is sure to change as the final figures are more accurately calculated, the realisation that the UK had exited recession was more than enough to send its currency on a rally.

This caused Pound/Euro rates to surge nicely at the end of last week.



Forecasters still expect a Euro rally in the wake of any request by the Spanish Government for financial assistance from the EU, but as yet this still hasn’t happened. In the absence of serious support for the Euro as the Spanish continue to tap-dance around the bailout, the pound was free to strengthen nearly 2.5 cents unabated in a day and a half after the GDP report.

This quick movement shows how easily gains can be made and lost on the currency market; those who were holding off selling their Euros whilst waiting for the Spanish Bailout lost nearly £3000 on an average second home sale price of €180,000. Of course one man’s loss is another’s gain with those looking to buy in the Euro zone have benefited from this sharp spike.

Experience teaches us that spikes are often just that, with correcting movements seeing rates move the opposite way very quickly.

One way of trying to make sure you catch a spike in your favour is by using our services. Unless you have the time and inclination to sit and watch a prices screen day in day out, the free services we provide mean you always have eyes and ears on the market that can inform you as soon as the rates move.

With the wide array of currency contracts available and state of the art trading facilities we can cover your bases for your currency needs when buying, selling or servicing overseas properties as well as any foreign invoices your company may need to pay.

Consultations with us are free, as are trading facilities which carry no obligation.

Click here to send me a free enquiry now.

Weekly Economic Data that may affect exchange rates 

Monday – A relatively quiet day for data releases to start the week. We have Net Lending figures from the UK along with inflation figures from both Germany and the US. 

Tuesday – A quiet day for data releases in the UK today. In Europe, the president of the ECB Mario Draghi gives a speech. We also have a ten-year Italian bond auction. It may be an interesting day for the GBP/EUR cross. From the States we have consumer confidence measures. 

Wednesday –We have consumer confidence figures from the UK today and a raft of inconsequential data from the Eurozone, including the general unemployment rate and inflation measures, both of which should have little impact on exchange rates. 

Thursday –As was the case last week, Thursday will be an interesting day for data releases. We have manufacturing PMI from China, the States and the UK along with unemployment figures from the US and house price data from the UK. 

Friday – We end the week with Canadian and American unemployment figures along with Spanish and Italian PMI data.
 

Getting the best exchange rates

You want the best exchange rates, of course you do. That's why you're reading this blog to try and gauge your timing. Take the next step and send us a free enquiry and have a consultation on all the options available to you.

It's free, it doesn't obligate you, and you may be surprised how much you can save by using us to get exchange rates that are up to 5% better than offered by banks. Click below to send your free enquiry now, and get a response the same day.
 

Click here to send me a free enquiry

Source | Foreign Exchange Rate Forecasts | http://foremostcurrencygroup.blogspot.com/2012/10/poundeuro-rates-climb-after-good-gdp.html

Good or bad for the Forex? I have no Idea

Continuing my thoughts from yesterday, on Wednesday the US reported a third straight month of Factory Order increase, a sign that things are picking up in the manufacturing sector.

The report was met with mixed results as the Dollar fell and stocks ended slightly off, an unusual occurrence as normally when stocks are down the Dollar is up as Forex Traders usually seek a safe haven respite.

I was watching Fox Business Network and they had an economist on who was analyzing the data and came up with similar conclusions to what I had said yesterday, simply, the reports that are coming out are not reflective of “the whole picture”. So this is the story behind the factory orders data:

About three weeks ago, the US announced a program called “cash for clunkers” which gives people ,500 for their junk cars towards the purchase of a new car with more than a minimum of 17 Miles Per Gallon.

This program is supposed to encourage “green” purchases to help lower overall carbon monoxide gases, as well as a boost to the ailing auto industry enabling them to see out their old 2008 models to allow for increased production of 2009 models.

The program was launched in “test” areas about two months ago, and was met with wild success and went national two weeks ago. It has been so popular in the two weeks since, that Congress is approving another 2 Billion Dollars towards extending it.

So the result of this is you have people who cannot afford a new car, people who never would have thought of buying a new car, now buying new cars to the rate of about 450,000 new cars in the past two weeks.

And they are doing it for the most part, with their own present and future tax dollars. To me this is not stimulus but rather stupid.

The US government will be in a 13 Trillion Dollar hole next year – 1 Trillion less than the 2007 GDP of the country. They owe China 3 Trillion, Russia 1 Trillion and are poised to pass legislation on healthcare that will send them even further in the red.

Source | Forex Update | http://adeel-forex-update.blogspot.com/2009/08/good-or-bad-for-forex-i-have-no-idea.html